Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on February 17, 2010
17.02.10 21:49
/IRBIS, February 17, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on February 17,
2010.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST expect continued growth of stock markets
in Europe and the USA. Asian stock indexes are now also showing strong
growth. Japanese stock index Nikkei 225 rising to 2%. Hong Kong Hang
Seng index growing by 1.85%. Australian stock market is growing at around
2%. Nearby futures for Brent crude traded at $ 75.8 per barrel., Mark WTI
about 77 $ / bbl. Gold traded at in 1115 $ / ounce., Silver - 16,1 $ / ounce.,
Copper - 3,24 $ / lb. Futures on U.S. indexes are now showing a slight
increase in the limits of 0,1%. Rate EUR / USD - 1.3764, GBP / USD -
1,5770.
- Impact on the course of trading today will also have data on U.S. industrial
production and construction of new homes in January. It is expected that
rates will rise and support the trading in the stock market in the United
States. In the UK, are now expected to publication of data on the labor
market. It is expected that the unemployment rate will remain at the same
level.
- In the corporate sector will be published financial statements of several
companies: BNP Paribas, ING Groep, Deere & Company, Devon Energy
Corporation, XTO Energy, Hewlett-Packard, NVIDIA Corp., Cliffs Natural
Resources.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST give the following advice for investors on equity
securities Kazakhmys plc (LSE: KAZ, KASE: GB_KZMS): in the course of
yesterday's auctions of the quotation of shares increased in price by 2.85% to a
mark of 13 pounds. Share prices continue to consolidate under the resistance
level at 13 pounds. However, consolidation in the levels 12.5-13 pounds led to
the breakdown of the upper boundary of a downward channel during yesterday's
trading. The MACD on the daily graph is a bullish signal. MACD signal line
crossed the line from the bottom up, that litter regarded as a signal to buy.
Meanwhile, analysts of ASYL INVEST express concern and uncertainty about
the future growth of the company stock price. The inventories of copper, tracking
the London Metal Exchange, said that the reserves have reached 550 thousand
tons, which is the maximum value since 2003. Early maximum value was
recorded at the end of February 2009, after which there was a steady decline in
stocks until mid-year. Santiago Gonzalez, Minister of Natural Resources of Chile,
the world's largest country with natural resources of copper, yesterday expressed
concern about the growth stocks of the metal around the world. In his view, it
could trigger price declines. Current short-term trading recommendations of
ASYL INVEST in securities of the company: buy at 10.85 pounds (KZT2,500),
sell (part of record profits) at 13.5 pounds (KZT3,150). Long-term target price
ASYL INVEST on the shares of the company, based on a fundamental
assessment, involves a fair market price at 13.8 pounds per share.
On the debt market analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend that investors
pay attention to the coupon bonds KZPC2Y05B871 Tsesnabank (TSBNb4,
PEFC. Yield - 16%, net price - 90.6890% of face value, coupon rate - 8%, fixed
the date Maturity - 16.06.11). Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommended these
bonds, based on the parameters of the attractive bonds. Analysts also expect a
rise in prices these bonds after a slight decline up to the last transaction.
According to the Bank's financial statements at the end of September 2009, the
bank has enough good indicators of liquidity. Value of liquid assets to total
assets was 18%. The bank also expanded its client base. During the reporting
period, accounts and customer deposits rose by 8%, while loans to customers
increased by 14%. According to the FSA on December 1, 2009, non-performing loans
amounted to 6.85%, while the average for the banking sector of Kazakhstan,
9.66% (non-BTA Bank, Alliance Bank and Temir Bank), which indicates a
relatively good quality credit portfolio. The Bank has also demonstrated good
credit by paying eurobonds worth $125 million from its own funds. Trading
recommendations of ASYL INVEST: buy when the yield 16% and sell when the
yield of 10%, or hold to maturity.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-02-17]