Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on December 8, 2009
08.12.09 18:03
/IRBIS, December 8, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview of
major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on December 8,
2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- the overall sentiment in the markets before today's trading consists
indefinitely. Lateral dynamics of yesterday's trading showed that investors'
appetite for risk has declined, however, this decline may be temporary, and
may soon happen bounce up from current levels;
- Currently the leading Asian indices showing a decrease in quotations, futures
on commodities markets show overall positive dynamics quotes, futures for
the American indexes show a slight increase. Rate EUR / USD pair changes
slightly, however, if growth in demand for risky assets, the U.S. dollar could
once again fall back to a mark of $ 1,50 / EUR;
- Today is expected to yield the following economic statistics: in the U.S. are
data on consumer credit in October, as well as data on an index of economic
optimism, in Germany and Britain are data on industrial production in
October: expected slowdown in industrial production;
- Today should pay attention to the accounts of companies - Lukoil, Mechel,
The Kroger;
- in general, at the opening of trading in Europe today, analysts of ASYL
INVEST expect moderate growth of quotations in the belief that "pre-
Christmas rally" still take place. It is recommended to open positions in the
shares of those companies whose quotes will sink to attractive price levels.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST don't see the fundamental factors for the reduction
in global stock markets.
- Today analysts of ASYL INVEST expect lower stock price in the domestic
market, which would be subject to a slight drop in European stock markets
during yesterday's trading session.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST give the following advice to investors on the
GDR of Gazprom OJSC (LSE: OGZD), Lukoil OJSC (LSE: LKOD): during
yesterday's trading showed a decrease in Russia's stock market. Quotes
securities companies Gazprom, Lukoil declined by 1.90% and 3.08%
respectively, resulting in stock prices of these companies have achieved the
recommended levels of purchase. Analysts ASYL INVEST believe that Russia's
negative on the stock market does not have a significant fundamental reason, but
you can still expect a slight reduction of quotations on Russian trading floors,
respectively, the attractiveness of buying securities of these companies will
grow. Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend to buy securities of these companies at
current levels, and give the following short-term trading recommendations:
Gazprom ADRs are recommended to buy at $ 22.25, sell it - at $ 27; Lukoil ADRs
are recommended to buy at $ 56.70, sell it -- at $ 63.
On the debt market investors with an increased appetite for risk analysts of
ASYL INVEST recommend that investors pay attention to the coupon
bonds KZPC2Y05B871 Tsesnabank JSC (TSBNb4, PEFC. Yield - 23%, after.
Net price - 81.5645% of face value, coupon rate - 8%, the repayment period:
16.06.11-29.06.11). Analysts of ASYL INVEST don't exclude a rise in prices of
securities upon the liquidation of the issuer of Eurobonds with maturity in
February 2010. Early Chairman of the Board Tsesnabank "reported that the bank
repay its immediate debt obligations. Moreover, to date Eurobond issuer
(TSESNA 10) traded with a relatively high discount, respectively, for the bank
would be more profitable to buy rather than to restructure. Bank's financial
results for the nine months of this year were relatively good, in particular, an
increase in liquidity ratios and improvements in profitability. For the nine
months of 2009 the bank showed a net profit of KTZ 1.8 billion, compared with a
net loss of KTZ 1.7 billion for the same period last year.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-12-08]