Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on September 2, 2009
02.09.09 15:45
/IRBIS, September 2, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on September
2, 2009.
According to message, the company analysts' forecast the following
developments on the international stock markets:
- expected declining at the opening of trading in Europe in response to falling
U.S. indices in the second half of trading yesterday. the American Petroleum
Institute (API) informed that there is a reduction in commercial oil reserves
in the USA. It can support oil prices and shares of oil companies. Today will
be officially published statistics from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE);
- There will be published data on changes in the number of jobs from
ADP in the USA. It is expected slowdown in the reduction, which could
provoke a "rebound" on the markets;
ASYL INVEST Analysts' give the following recommendations for investors:
- ENRC PLC (LSE: ENRC): Yesterday, ENRC shares were decreased by
6.94%. The movement of stock price the company was more significant than
other mining companies. Trading recommendations of ASYL INVEST on
ENRC shares: analysts recommended changing the point of purchase from
8.0 pounds to 7.7 pounds (the next closest support level by level Fibonacci),
selling it is still recommended at 9.50 pounds . The consensus forecast of
Bloomberg does not imply a substantial potential for growth in the value of
securities of the company and assumes the target price at 8.93 pounds;
- the GDR Gazprom (LSE: OGZD): on Tuesday, depositary receipts fell by
3.07% to close on $20.55. Trading recommendations ASYL INVEST in
securities of the company: buy at $ 19.50, selling at $ 22.50. Shares looks
overbought at the moment. Bloomberg consensus forecast implies an
average target price of $ 27.82, which implies a fundamental reason for
growth in value of securities of the company. After a substantial reduction of
the previous day, analysts ASYL INVEST expected rebound in oil prices and
recommend waiting for input levels according to the papers today;
- the GDR Rosneft (LSE: ROSN): Yesterday, depositary receipts lost 1.24 %
of the capitalization, down to the level of $ 6.37 by results of trading on
the LSE. Published accounting results were worse than analysts' expectations.
Rosneft's net profit for the second quarter of 2009 decreased by 21.7 % to
$1.61 billion, which was associated with an increase in the effective income
tax rate and the nominal appreciation of the ruble in the second quarter.
Analysts ASYL INVEST evaluate reporting company as neutral and believe
that this factor will not have this residual influence on the course of
bidding.The fall in prices of depositary receipts of the company contributed
on the decreased in oil prices on positive macro-statistic in the United
States - the growth of business activity index in the industry. ASYL INVEST
analysts'assign short-term trading recommendations on Rosneft - "hold", noting
the slight long-term potential to decrease (-1.33 %). Buy Depository Receipts
analysts advise at a price of $ 5.75, to sell - at a price of $ 6.75;
- the GDR Surgutneftegaz (LSE: SGGD): depositary receipts fell by 4.8% to
$ 8.19. Today, ASYL INVEST analysts' expect declining, but it is possible an
increase by the end of the day. Trading recommendations ASYL INVEST:
buy at $ 7, sold at $ 9. In the long term horizon and in economic terms,
receipts Surgutneftegaz have the potential to decrease (-19.1%).
[2009-09-02]