REVIEW: KASE share market in July 2009

14.08.09 17:42
/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, August 14, 09/ - In July 2009 Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) registered 935 deals for the total of KZT6.1 bn. or USD40.5 m. according to the current rate as on the date of conclusion of deals in shares in all market sectors including deals concluded on the special trading floor of the regional financial center of Almaty (STF RFCA). The indicated sum totals to 12.0 % of monthly turnover of KASE corporate securities market (in June 2009 - 11.8 %) and 0.2 % of the total exchange monthly turnover (0.4 %). By results of July 2009 weighted average day prices of 41 % shares denominations increased (in June 2009 - 28 %), 36 % denominations (44 %) - decreased, prices of 23 % of shares didn't change (28 %). Maximum trend showed the following instruments: ASBN increased by 112.8 %, KMSO fell by 50.0 %. In previous month KMSO increased by 100.0 %, aASFI fell by 85.1 %. In London Stock Exchange (LSE) quotes of Kazakh issuers' equity securities increased by a total growth of investment optimism about the speedy recovery of world economy.: global receipts of Kazkommertsbank JSC grew by 2.5 % (in June it fell by 12.1 %), Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan JSC - by 25.3 % (- 11.7 %), GDR of Exploration Production KazMunaiGaz JSC - by 13.4 % (- 13.6 %), KAZAKHMYS PLC - by 36.0 % (-8.8 %), EURASIAN NATURAL RESOURCES CORPORATION PLC - by 27.6 % (+4.3 %). Below are the tables providing details on KASE share market in July 2009. Tab. 1. Statistical characteristics of KASE share market in July 2009 --------------------------------------------------------------------- Trend to -------------------- Indicator July 2009 June 2009 July 2008 -------------------------------------- --------- --------- ---------- Trade volume, th. USD 40,468.5 -20.8 % 0.2 times Trade volume, m. KZT 6,097.6 -20.6 % 0.3 times including, on offerings, th. USD - - - including, on offerings, m. KZT - - - including on STF RFCA, th. USD 35.1 0.1 times 0.01 times including on STF RFCA, m. KZT 5.3 0.1 times 0.1 times Deals 935 -23.7 % +11.8 % Instruments in deals 39 +8.3 % -18.8 % Daily average of deals 43 -23.7 % +11.8 % Daily average volume of deals, th. USD 1,839.5 -20.8 % 0.2 times Daily average volume of deals, m. KZT 277.2 -20.6 % 0.3 times Stake of nego deals (number), % 1.3 +0.1 pp -1.3 pp Stake of nego deals (volume), % 4.0 +1.0 pp -3.4 pp Pension assets, % gross - - - Individuals, % gross 27.8 +9.4 pp +16.7 pp Non-residents, % gross 8.4 -8.1 pp -16.4 pp KASE members, concluded deals 40 +2.6 % -11.1 % Market concentration, %* 59.8 -7.6 pp +5.1 pp --------------------------------------------------------------------- * percent of total share turnover, which falls on most tradable securities (their number makes 5 % of the total of stocks, involved in deals). Tab. 2. Industrial characteristics of KASE share market* ----------------------------------------------------------- Stake of total volume of market (%): ---------- --------- --------- Industry July 2009 June 2009 July 2008 ---------------------------- ---------- --------- --------- Finance 55.6 62.7 87.1 Power engineering 18.7 26.7 7.0 Raw material sector 15.8 6.3 0.4 Main consumer sector 7.5 1.4 1.6 Telecommunications services 1.2 2.2 0.6 Discretional consumer sector 1.1 0.4 0.7 Industry 0.01 - - Public health - 0.2 0.01 Information technologies - - - Public services - 0.1 2.5 ----------------------------------------------------------- * Industrial classification of turnover structure has been compiled in accordance with industry Classification Standard (GICS) Standard and Poor's Tab. 3. KASE index dynamics in various periods at the moment of trade close as on July 31, 2009 (basis actual/365) ------------------------------------------ Trend in: -------------- Period % % APR --------------------------- ------ ------- For preceding 30 days + 9.4 + 114.8 Since the beginning of 2008 - 54.8 - 34.5 For last 365 days (year) - 49.0 - 49.0 In 2007 + 12.2 + 12.2 Form the beginning of 2007 - 49.3 - 19.1 ------------------------------------------ Tab. 4. Main indicators of exchange purchase and sale share market in July 2009 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Market Volume of Volume of capitalization, deals, deals, Number Date m. USD KASE index th. USD m. KZT of deals -------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- -------- 30.06.09 39,886.7 1,069.77 535.2 80.5 62 01.07.09 39,934.7 1,088.96 228.3 34.3 18 02.07.09 39,676.4 1,067.19 371.6 55.9 35 03.07.09 38,907.0 1,047.07 702.3 105.6 41 07.07.09 38,123.0 1,025.59 377.8 56.8 41 08.07.09 37,829.8 1,000.91 13,761.2 2,072.7 33 09.07.09 37,601.2 994.22 597.2 89.9 48 10.07.09 37,695.7 994.71 379.8 57.2 34 13.07.09 36,917.8 991.49 300.6 45.2 22 14.07.09 38,343.4 1,014.93 443.2 66.8 51 15.07.09 39,450.3 1,033.12 4,425.1 667.0 46 16.07.09 40,310.3 1,044.00 1,502.4 226.5 42 17.07.09 40,621.0 1,057.22 5,835.5 879.6 43 20.07.09 41,080.7 1,063.52 599.3 90.4 38 21.07.09 42,965.0 1,094.38 191.8 28.9 14 22.07.09 41,040.9 1,052.23 2,310.8 348.3 42 23.07.09 41,085.3 1,065.27 902.5 136.0 36 24.07.09 43,309.4 1,098.32 830.1 125.1 79 27.07.09 42,674.7 1,106.50 3,664.3 552.5 40 28.07.09 44,520.5 1,139.57 1,105.9 166.7 80 29.07.09 43,651.1 1,123.47 690.5 104.0 40 30.07.09 44,211.7 1,145.25 583.2 87.9 52 31.07.09 45,619.4 1,191.74 665.3 100.3 60 -------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- -------- Trend 5,732.7 122.0 , , , % +14.4 +11.4 , , , ---------------------------------------------------------------- Tab. 5. Changes in shares tradable on KASE in July 2009 -------------------------------------------------------- Shares: Instruments: Issuers: Admission ----------- ------------ ----------- category Numb. trend Numb. trend Numb. trend ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- First 28 +1 37 +1 20 +1 Incl. MTF KASE 27 +1 27 +1 19 +1 Incl. STF RFCA 10 0 10 0 6 0 ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Second 40 0 46 0 28 0 Incl. MTF KASE 33 0 33 0 24 0 Incl. STF RFCA 13 0 13 0 8 0 ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Third 49 0 51 0 44 0 Incl. MTF KASE 40 0 40 0 37 0 Incl. STF RFCA 11 0 11 0 9 0 ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Investment funds` securities 2 -1 2 -1 2 -1 Incl. MTF KASE 1 0 1 0 1 0 Incl. STF RFCA 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Unlisted securities 7 0 7 0 6 0 ------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Total 120 0 143 0 91 0 -------------------------------------------------------- Notes: MTF KASE - main trade floor of KASE; STF RFCA - Special Trade Floor of Regional Financial Centre of Almaty; due to STF RFCA launching securities (bonds) of one denomination the re could be two exchange instruments, different in trading code, and trading and settlements terms. Tab. 6. Results of trades in shares on KASE in July 2009 (according to data on deals, concluded on the secondary market by open trade method) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price, tenge per share: ---------------------------------------------------- by last deal for last 365 days Volume Number Share --------------- ------------------ of deals, of symbol min. max. price trend% min max th. USD deals ------- -------- -------- -------- ------ -------- --------- --------- ------ aHSBKp 118.2 118.2 118.2 -6.5 112.7 172.7 25.8 1 aPRIN 1100.0 5454.6 1100.0 +10.0 1000.0 9090.9 9.3 6 ASBN 900.0 1700.0 1500.0 +112.8 550.0 20300.0 5.4 7 ASBNp1 3500.0 3500.0 3500.0 2000.0 12000.0 3.0 1 ASFI 16000.0 17500.0 16500.0 -27.4 16000.0 29500.0 684.6 4 AZNO 1089.0 2685.3 1089.0 0 1089.0 10000.0 1965.7 46 BTAS 1982.3 3100.0 2365.0 -21.2 1202.0 62597.0 18145.2 89 CCBN 340.0 407.6 360.0 -12.2 200.0 2000.0 539.6 69 CSBNp 1676.0 1676.0 1676.0 0 1676.0 2280.0 0.5 1 DAMU 1130.0 1130.0 1130.0 1130.0 2046.0 7.7 1 EXBN 551.0 551.0 551.0 0 499.0 2270.6 371.7 2 EXBNp 1140.0 1140.0 1140.0 +0.001 1140.0 1387.7 19.9 1 GB_ENRC 1550.0 2110.0 2110.0 +24.1 395.0 2673.0 343.7 57 GB_KZMS 1500.0 2150.0 2130.0 +29.1 370.0 3520.0 5209.4 147 HSBK 127.3 172.0 172.0 +22.9 61.5 405.0 860.6 152 HSBKp 110.9 118.2 110.9 88.8 215.0 44.0 2 KASE 7457.0 7457.0 7457.0 +21.7 4200.0 7457.0 159.1 1 KAZI 270.0 270.0 270.0 150.0 350.0 3.0 1 KIBN 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 308.0 19.8 1 KKGB 290.0 320.0 315.0 +5.0 190.0 1100.0 58.5 23 KKGBp 100.0 100.0 100.0 0 86.4 360.0 37.2 4 KZTCp 880.0 880.0 880.0 800.0 1700.0 6.2 1 KZTK 13200.0 13700.0 13205.0 -1.5 5000.0 33900.0 344.5 45 KZTKp 6200.0 6650.0 6200.0 0 1880.5 15400.0 128.4 15 LNAT 8500.0 8500.0 8500.0 8500.0 8505.0 0.6 1 MMGZp 4500.0 5000.0 5000.0 2000.0 12000.0 1.9 2 NFBN 2000.0 2000.0 2000.0 1321.0 5270.0 4.0 1 ORDB 550.0 550.0 550.0 0 250.0 2700.0 1135.8 44 ORDBp 550.0 550.0 550.0 0 510.0 2100.0 1135.8 44 RDGZ 16000.0 19100.0 19100.0 +12.3 6201.0 19800.0 2649.8 133 ROSA 666.2 686.2 686.2 -11.3 334.8 977.8 3029.1 3 SATC 78.1 78.1 78.1 0 70.0 1000000.0 0.1 1 TEBN 955.0 955.0 955.0 955.0 8500.0 1391.8 2 TEBNp 375.0 412.5 412.5 +4.4 275.0 2750.0 1.9 2 TSBN 1000.0 1000.0 1000.0 -4.8 600.0 1770.0 0.2 1 VSTN 243000.0 270000.0 243000.0 -22.9 243000.0 360310.8 44.6 2 ZERD 6.5 6.7 6.5 -3.1 3.6 6.7 330.7 7 ZERDp 4.0 4.1 4.0 +1.5 4.0 4.3 132.0 3 aHSBKp 118.2 118.2 118.2 -6.5 112.7 172.7 25.8 1 aPRIN 1100.0 5454.6 1100.0 +10.0 1000.0 9090.9 9.3 6 ASBN 900.0 1700.0 1500.0 +112.8 550.0 20300.0 5.4 7 ------- -------- -------- -------- ------ -------- --------- --------- ------ 41 38851.1 923 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: The table provides data on the shares, in which the deals were concluded by one of the open trade methods. Trends (change in %) are provided in relation to the last deal of the preceding month (June 1 - 30, 2009). Trend is not computed, if there were no deals in the preceding month. Tab. 7. Top 10 most liquid shares of KASE in July 2009, including STF RFCA ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl): Rank ------------------------------------------ --------- volume number number July June Share Liquidity of deals, number of KASE resultant 2009 2009 symbol indicator Kl m. KZT of deals members days ---- ---- ------- ------------ ----------- ---------- -------- ---------- 1 2 GB_KZMS 2.61 785.3 147 28 22 2 3 HSBK 2.38 129.7 152 26 19 3 8 BTAS 2.36 2,733.5 89 23 20 4 1 RDGZ 2.30 399.2 133 25 20 5 4 CCBN 1.71 81.3 69 22 20 6 7 GB_ENRC 1.47 51.8 57 19 18 7 6 KZTK 1.35 51.9 45 19 16 8 5 KKGB 0.99 8.8 23 17 10 9 13 AZNO 0.93 296.2 46 2 22 10 11 ORDB 0.86 171.1 44 1 22 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: For calculation of Kl only data on deals concluded in KASE secondary market sector by one of the open trade methods are accounted. The methodology of calculation of this indicator is available in the corresponding section of the document, released at http://www.kase.kz/mix/rsp.pdf in Russian and at http://www.kase.kz/eng/mix/rsp.pdf in English. Tab. 8. Top 10 most capitalized listing companies of KASE, shares of which were listed on the official list of securities of the Exchange (as on the moment of trades close on the indicated dates) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ As on 31.07.09: As on 30.06.09: Trend: ---------------------- ---------------------- --------------- Short or capitali- company capitali- company capitali- contraction name zation stake zation stake zation stake of company rank m. USD % rank m. USD % m. USD pp ---------------- ---- --------- ------- ---- --------- ------- --------- ----- ENRC PLC 1 18,029.0 39.50 1 14,603.7 36.58 +3,425.3 +2.91 KazMunaiGaz EP 2 8,834.6 19.35 2 7,978.1 19.99 +856.5 -0.63 KAZAKHMYS PLŠ” 3 7,495.4 16.42 3 5,966.7 14.95 +1,528.7 +1.47 Halyk Bank 4 1,463.7 3.21 4 1,285.4 3.22 +178.3 -0.01 ATFBank 5 1,323.7 2.90 5 1,246.9 3.12 +76.8 -0.22 Kazkommercebank 6 1,282.7 2.81 6 1,230.1 3.08 +52.7 -0.27 Kazakhtelecom 7 1,013.0 2.22 8 996.5 2.50 +16.5 -0.28 Astana-Finance 8 784.4 1.72 7 1,003.9 2.51 -219.5 -0.80 Kaspi Bank 9 559.2 1.23 10 555.3 1.39 +3.9 -0.17 BTA Bank 10 520.4 1.14 9 670.4 1.68 -150.0 -0.54 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Notes: The company stake, % - an indicator, received by cutting off market capitalization of the company to total capitalization of exchange market share of official list of securities of KASE and expressed in percent. As on the market close July 31, 2009 this indicator made USD45,619.4 m. 100 shares of 75 issuers were listed on the official list of KASE. [2009-08-14]