S&P places KazMunayGas and subsidiaries in CreditWatch with negative oulook on liquidity and leverage concerns concernted with weakened bank sector
17.06.09 14:42
/Standard & Poor's, Moscow, June 16, 09, heading by KASE/ - Credit ratings of
KazMunayGas and its subsidiaries were placed on the CreditWatch list with
negative outlook due to risks of liquidity and bigger financial leverage related
to a weakened Kazkhstan bank sector
- The substantial cash reserves of Kazakh oil and gas holding company JSC
NC KazMunayGas (KMG) and its subsidiaries are concentrated within a small
number of local banks, the credit quality of which, in our assessment,
continues to deteriorate.
- In our view, KMG doesn't have full flexibility to manage its cash deposits,
witnessed by, for example, the need to attract new financing to fund its
acquisition of MMG.
- We are placing the ratings of KMG, and its subsidiaries KMG EP, KTO, KTG,
and ICA on CreditWatch with negative implications, reflecting our concerns
about the potential impact the exposure to the local banking sector will have
on the companies' liquidity and leverage.
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services took the following specific rating actions:
- The 'BBB-' long-term corporate credit and 'kzAA' Kazakhstan national scale
ratings on JSC NC KazMunayGas (KMG) were placed on CreditWatch with
negative implications;
- The 'BB+' long-term corporate credit rating on JSC KazMunaiGas Exploration
Production (KMG EP) was placed on CreditWatch with negative implications;
- The 'BB+' long-term corporate credit rating on KazTransOil (KTO) was placed
on CreditWatch with negative implications;
- The 'BB' long-term corporate credit rating on KazTransGas (KTG) was placed
on CreditWatch with negative implications;
- The 'BB' long-term corporate credit rating on JSC Intergas Central Asia (ICA)
was placed on CreditWatch with negative implications.
We placed KMG and its subsidiaries on CreditWatch with negative implications
because of our concerns about their exposure to Kazakhstan's weak banking
sector. The group reports considerable deposits with local banks, notably
(B+/Negative/B) and
(B/Negative/C). The group companies also have
deposits with (D/--/D). In our opinion, the liquidity and asset
quality of these banks remain under pressure (see press release "Ratings of
Kazkommertsbank and Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan reduced on worse financials
indicaors; oulook - "Negative", released June 11, 2009). In our view, the
flexibility KMG and its subsidiaries have in managing these deposits may be
limited, an example of which is the company's need to attract new financing to
fund its recent acquisition of MangistauMunaiGas (not rated), despite reporting
significant cash reserves. This causes us to believe that KMG's liquidity is not
as strong as we previously assumed. KMG had about $1.4 billion in short-term
debt to be refinanced as of Dec. 31, 2008, and a massive investment program to
be funded during 2009-2012. That said, we still believe that the Kazakh
government has the incentives and ability to support the company if necessary.
At the same time, weaker cash flow generation and increasing leverage resulting
from lower oil prices constrain KMG's stand-alone credit quality.
We intend to review the CreditWatch placement of KMG by June 30, 2009, after
we have finalized our assessment of the group's liquidity, near-term operating
prospects, and potential government support. Depending on this assessment, we
may lower the long-term rating on KMG by one or two notches.
The CreditWatch placement KMG's subsidiaries, including KMG EP, KTO, and
KTG, reflects our concerns about KMG's ability to support these entities, as
well as potentially limited access for KMG EP, KTO, and KTG to cash reserves
deposited with the local banks. Standard & Poor's plans to review the
CreditWatch placement of KMG EP, KTO, KTG, and ICA by June 30, 2009, in line
with our review of KMG.
Ratings list
To From
KazMunayGas
Credit rating
ВВВ-/Watch Negative/- ВВВ-/Stable/-
National rating
kzAA/Watch Negative/- kzAA
KazMunaiGas Exploration Production
Credit rating
ВВ+/Watch Negative/- ВВ+/Stable/-
KazTransOil
Credit rating
ВВ+/Watch Negative/- ВВ+/Stable/-
KazTransGas
Credit rating
ВВ/Watch Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
Intergas Cnetral Asia
Credit rating
ВВ/ Watch Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
NB: The rating list does not incluse all ratings.
For further information, please contact:
Andrey Nikolaev, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-41-31
Sergei Gorin, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-41-32
Robert Richards, Frankfurt, 49 (69) 33-99-92-00
E-mails of analysts:
Andrey_Nikolaev@standardandpoors.com
Sergey_Gorin@standardandpoors.com
Elad_Jelasko@standardandpoors.com
Rob_Richards@standardandpoors.com
[2009-06-17]