S&P places four Kazakhstan companies on CreditWatch with negative outlook on weakened bank system and possible reduced government support
17.06.09 14:41
/Standard & Poor's, Moscow, June 16, 09, heading by KASE/ - Standard & Poor's
Ratings Services said today that it had taken the following specific rating
actions:
- The 'BB+' long-term corporate credit, 'B' short-term corporate credit, and
kzAA-' Kazakhstan national scale ratings on Kazakh Agrarian Credit Corp.
(KACC), and issue ratings on KACC's bonds and loan, were placed on
CreditWatch with negative implications;
- The 'BB' long-term corporate credit and 'kzA+' Kazakhstan national scale
ratings on Kazpost (JSC) were placed on CreditWatch with negative
implications;
- The 'BB' long-term corporate credit and 'kzA' Kazakhstan national scale
ratings on Mortgage Guarantee Fund of Kazakhstan (JSC) (MGFK) were
placed on CreditWatch with negative implications;
- The 'BB' long-term corporate credit, 'B' short-term corporate credit, and
'kzA' Kazakhstan national scale ratings on KazAgroGarant were placed on
CreditWatch with negative implications.
"The CreditWatch placement reflects our concern that Kazakh GREs are
vulnerable to the country's weakened banking system and government efforts to
stabilize it," said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Boris Kopeykin.
Although we have no evidence so far of any additional restrictions in asset and
cash management imposed on the four GREs other than standard requirements
of their parent entities, Samruk and KazAgro holding companies, we believe that
the government's desire to stabilize the banking system poses a potential risk
to GREs because they may have reduced access to their deposits with suffering
Kazakh banks. In addition, deteriorating liquidity and lower safety of cash
reserves and investments pressure the GREs' stand-alone credit quality.
That said, we still believe that the Kazakh government has both the incentive
and the ability to support these GREs, if necessary.
"Standard & Poor's plans to review the CreditWatch placement on KACC,
Kazpost, MGFK, and KazAgroGarant after we have finalized our assessment of
potential government support to Kazakh GREs, and also the effects of the
continued financial system turmoil on the stand-alone credit quality of these
GREs," said Mr. Kopeykin.
In the case of KACC, which has rating loan acceleration triggers in its $136
million bank loan agreement, resolution of the CreditWatch placement would also
require more clarity regarding the future creditor's decisions on acceleration,
and/or re- iteration of availability of full and timely extraordinary support
from KazAgro and the Kazakh government.
Rating list
To From
Kazakhstan Agrarian Credit Corporation (KACC)
ВВ+/Watch Negative/В ВВ+/Stable/В
kzAA-/Watch Negative kzAA-
Kazpost
BB/Watch Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
kzA+/Watch Negative kzA+
Mortgage Guarantee Fund of Kazakhstan
BB/Watch Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
kzA/Watch Negative kzA
KazAgroGarant
BB/Watch Negative/В ВВ/Stable/В
kzA/Watch Negative kzA
NB: The list does not include all ratings affected.
For further information, please, contact:
Boris Kopeykin, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-62
Ben Faulks, London, 44 (207) 176-71-08
Annette Ess, Frnakfurt, 49 (693) 399-91-57
Victor Nikolskiy, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-10
E-mails of analysts:
boris_kopeykin@standardandpoors.com
ben_faulks@standardandpoors.com
annette_ess@standardandpoors.com
victor_nikolskiy@standardandpoors.com
PublicFinanceEurope@standardandpoors.com
[2009-06-17]