REVIEW: KASE share market in March 2009

13.04.09 16:53
/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, April 13, 09/ - In March 2009 Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) registered 849 deals for the total of KZT25.3 bn. or USD167.7 m. according to the current rate as on the date of conclusion of deals in shares in all market sectors including deals concluded on the special trading floor of the regional financial center of Almaty (STF RFCA). The indicated sum totals to 47.2 % of monthly turnover of KASE corporate securities market (in February 2009 - 52.4 %) and 1.3 % of the total exchange monthly turnover (2.1 %). By results of March 2009 weighted average day prices of 30 % shares denominations increased (in February 2009 - 29 %), 49 % denominations (60 %) - decreased, prices of 19 % of shares didn't change (7 %), 3 % denominations were traded for the first time on KASE (4 %). Maximum trend showed the following instruments: RAHT increased by 190.0 %, AZNO fell by 86.8 %. In February 2009 ATFB grew by 220.0 %, SATC fell by 100.0 %. London Stock Exchange (LSE) observed the fall of global receipts of Alliance Bank JSC by 67.3 % (-58.0 % in February 2009), Kazkommertsbank JSC - by 13.7 % (-12.5 %). GDR of Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan JSC - grew by 3.6 % (-17.0 %), Exploration Production KazMunaiGaz JSC - by 21.4 % (-4.0 %), KAZAKHMYS PLC grew - by 41.9 % (+16.9 %), EURASIAN NATURAL RESOURCES CORPORATION PLC - by 35.4 % (+5.0 %). Below are the tables providing details on KASE share market in March 2009. Tab. 1. Statistical characteristics of KASE share market in March 2009 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Trend to ---------------------- Feb. March Indicator March 2009 2009 2008 -------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- ----------- Trade volume, th. USD 167,708.1 0.4 times -37.3 % Trade volume, m. KZT 25,274.9 0.4 times -21.6 % including, on offerings, th. USD - - -* including, on offerings, m. KZT - - -* including on STF RFCA, th. USD 1,615.6 0.01 times 0.001 times including on STF RFCA, m. KZT 244.4 0.01 times 0.01 times Deals 849 -43.4 % -31.6 % Instruments in deals 38 -17.4 % +5.6 % Daily average of deals 42 -43.4 % -35.0 % Daily average volume of deals, th. USD 8,385.4 -57.3 % -40.5 % Daily average volume of deals, m. KZT 1,263.7 -56.7 % -25.6 % Stake of nego deals (number), % 1.2 -1.4 pp -1.9 pp Stake of nego deals (volume), % 1.8 -1.9 pp -4.2 pp Pension assets, % gross 36.8 +35.5 pp +27.3 pp Individuals, % gross 18.2 +8.4 pp +1.3 pp Non-residents, % gross 3.2 -6.8 pp -21.6 pp KASE members, concluded deals 42 -16.0 % -10.6 % Market concentration, %** 80.5 +11.9 pp +22.1 pp ------------------------------------------------------------------------ * volume of trade on offering in March 2008 made $20,819.1 th. (KZT2,512.7 m.); **percent of total share turnover, which falls on most tradable securities (their number makes 5 % of the total of stocks, involved in deals). Tab. 2. Industrial characteristics of KASE share market* ----------------------------------------------------------------- Stake of total volume of market (%): ------------------------------------ March Feb. March Industry 2009 2009 2008 ---------------------------- ----------- ------------ ----------- Main consumer sector 50.6 17.6 0.1 Power engineering 39.7 16.5 6.2 Finance 6.3 4.9 32.5 Discretional consumer sector 1.9 0.5 41.3 Telecommunications services 1.0 0.5 1.4 Raw material sector 0.4 51.1 18.5 Public services 0.003 >0.001 - Industry - 8.2 - Public health - 0.6 - Information technologies - - - ----------------------------------------------------------------- *Industrial classification of turnover structure has been compiled in accordance with Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) Standard and Poor's Tab. 3. KASE Index dynamics in various periods at the moment of trade close as on March 31, 2009 (basis actual/365) ---------------------------------------- Trend in: ------------ Period % % APR --------------------------- ----- ------ For preceding 30 days +9.1 +110.2 Since the beginning of 2008 -74.1 -59.0 For last 365 days (year) -73.4 -73.4 In 2007 +12.2 +12.2 Form the beginning of 2007 -70.9 -31.6 ---------------------------------------- Tab. 4. Main indicators of exchange purchase and sale share market in March 2009 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Market Volume of Volume of capitalization, deals, deals, Number Date m. USD KASE Index th. USD m. KZT of deals -------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- -------- 27.02.09 26,069.83 626.84 33,090.6 4,977.8 37 02.03.09 26,192.71 621.36 219.5 33.1 20 03.03.09 25,550.51 597.93 218.3 32.9 22 04.03.09 25,192.83 594.52 2,154.9 324.1 26 05.03.09 23,416.70 613.83 260.5 39.2 28 06.03.09 23,342.60 603.29 225.5 33.9 22 10.03.09 23,462.26 603.63 261.0 39.3 33 11.03.09 24,253.42 623.59 5,079.0 764.5 57 12.03.09 23,378.58 620.61 34,394.4 5,175.7 26 13.03.09 24,858.70 641.10 3,071.4 461.6 61 16.03.09 24,938.81 649.16 57,090.2 8,577.8 34 17.03.09 24,703.32 660.38 805.3 121.1 56 18.03.09 24,780.17 673.91 1,664.2 250.6 62 19.03.09 24,913.13 683.19 3,264.7 492.7 42 20.03.09 25,524.72 678.89 4,775.3 721.6 48 24.03.09 26,949.78 717.87 2,185.1 330.6 63 25.03.09 26,321.37 693.06 14,206.2 2,150.5 41 26.03.09 26,733.44 709.35 964.0 145.9 40 27.03.09 27,908.19 719.64 28,666.6 4,338.7 54 30.03.09 26,406.16 703.77 6,323.3 957.3 61 31.03.09 26,203.23 683.64 1,878.8 283.8 53 -------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- -------- Trend 133.4 56.8 % +0.5 +9.1 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Tab. 5. Changes in shares tradable on KASE in March 2009 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Shares: Instruments: Issuers: Admission ----------- ------------ ----------- category Numb. trend Numb. trend Numb. trend ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- First 27 -2 38 -2 19 0 Incl. MTF KASE 26 -2 26 -2 18 0 Incl. STF RFCA 12 0 12 0 7 0 ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Second 40 +1 46 +2 28 -1 Incl. MTF KASE 33 +1 33 +1 24 -1 Incl. STF RFCA 13 +1 13 +1 8 0 ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Third 49 +2 50 +1 45 +4 Incl. MTF KASE 42 +2 42 +2 39 +4 Incl. STF RFCA 8 -1 8 -1 9 +1 ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Investment funds` securities 2 0 2 0 2 0 Incl. MTF KASE 1 0 1 0 1 0 Incl. STF RFCA 1 0 1 0 1 0 ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Unlisted securities 4 0 4 0 4 0 ---------------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- Total 117 +1 140 +1 90 +1 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: MTF KASE - main trade floor of KASE; STF RFCA - Special Trade Floor of Regional Financial Centre of Almaty; due to STF RFCA launching securities (bonds) of one denomination the re could be two exchange instruments, different in trading code, and trading and settlements terms. Tab. 6. Results of trades in shares on KASE in March 2009 (according to data on deals, concluded on the secondary market by open trade method) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price, tenge per share: --------------------------------------------------------- Num by last deal for last 365 days Volume of Share ---------------- -------------------- of deals, de- symbol min. max. price trend% min max th. USD als ------- --------- --------- --------- ------ --------- ---------- --------- --- aHSBK 88.00 88.00 88.00 -2.2 83.00 460.00 25.4 1 aPRIN 5499.99 5499.99 5499.99 5000.01 8384.00 1590.3 1 ASBN 850.00 2300.00 1100.00 -52.2 850.00 21700.00 41.5 11 ASFI 22728.01 25000.00 22728.01 0 18000.00 25000.00 738.5 13 ATFB 7450.00 7450.00 7450.00 -69.0 7225.00 24000.00 18.9 1 AZNO 1089.00 3430.00 1089.00 1089.00 10000.00 237.1 12 BTAS 3000.00 4200.90 3200.00 -16.9 1202.00 83200.00 1007.1 52 CCBN 235.00 260.00 240.00 -15.2 200.00 2000.00 159.1 20 CSBN 4283.76 4283.76 4283.76 3850.00 5790.00 0.1 1 CSBNp 1676.02 1676.02 1676.02 1676.02 2280.00 0.0 1 EXBN 535.00 2270.58 549.00 -39.0 499.00 2500.00 723.4 25 EXBNp 1140.00 1140.00 1140.00 1140.00 1350.00 26.2 2 GB_ENRC 648.99 1100.00 890.00 +32.8 395.00 3750.00 292.3 77 GB_KZMS 550.00 934.00 825.00 +44.7 370.00 4600.00 423.7 75 HSBK 61.51 93.00 73.00 +4.3 61.51 521.00 861.5 89 KATRp 10000.00 10000.00 10000.00 0 10000.00 10000.00 84322.6 11 KIBN 230.00 230.00 230.00 230.00 363.00 3.1 2 KKGB 275.00 350.00 275.00 -14.1 190.00 1100.00 2974.4 34 KKGBp 103.40 103.40 103.40 +10.0 86.36 428.95 0.0 1 KZTK 7000.00 8250.00 8000.00 +6.7 5000.00 41000.00 1378.9 89 KZTKp 2700.01 3300.00 3300.00 +20.0 1880.50 19900.00 198.6 20 MMGZp 2000.00 2200.00 2200.00 -19.4 2000.00 20000.00 44.6 5 MREK 2400.00 2400.00 2400.00 0 2400.00 2970.00 4.3 2 NFBN 2200.00 4500.00 4500.00 +125.0 1321.00 5270.00 60.4 7 NRBNp6 13000.00 13000.00 13000.00 13000.00 13000.00 25.4 1 ORDB 550.00 550.00 550.00 +10.0 250.00 2750.00 1013.3 40 RDGZ 10800.00 14400.00 13250.00 +18.3 6201.00 24500.00 13587.1 187 ROSA 773.62 773.62 773.62 334.84 977.76 432.0 1 SATC 70.00 100.00 71.00 -15.3 70.00 1000000.00 50655.3 27 SUMB 300000.00 300000.00 300000.00 300000.00 300000.00 2975.0 5 TEBN 1000.00 1785.00 1000.00 -69.7 1000.00 8500.00 434.9 4 TEBNp 302.50 500.50 302.50 -39.5 275.00 2805.00 11.4 8 TSBN 601.00 660.00 601.00 -8.8 601.00 2100.00 9.7 4 VSTN 348000.00 349000.00 348000.00 0 322000.00 360310.83 273.6 2 ZERD 6.71 6.71 6.71 +10.0 3.50 6.71 50.6 2 ZERDp 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30 152.3 6 ------- --------- --------- --------- ------ --------- ---------- --------- --- 36 164752.8 839 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: The table provides data on the shares, in which the deals were concluded by one of the open trade methods. Trends (change in %) are provided in relation to the last deal of the preceding month (February 1 - 28, 2009). Trend is not computed, if there were no deals in the preceding month. Tab. 7. Top 10 most liquid shares of KASE in March 2009, including STF RFCA ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl): ------------------------------------------ Rank ---------- Liquidity volume number number March Feb. Share indicator of deals, number of KASE resultant 2009 2009 symbol Kl m. KZT of deals members days ----- ---- ------- --------- ----------- ---------- -------- ---------- 1 1 RDGZ 2.46 2,050.6 187 45 15 2 3 HSBK 1.76 129.8 89 36 19 3 4 KZTK 1.58 207.7 89 29 18 4 5 GB_KZMS 1.54 64.0 75 31 18 5 9 GB_ENRC 1.50 44.2 77 31 16 6 2 BTAS 1.19 151.6 52 25 14 7 7 KKGB 0.92 449.4 34 18 13 8 23 SATC 0.78 7,635.5 27 7 7 9 12 ORDB 0.74 152.8 40 1 20 10 13 KATRp 0.70 12,700.0 11 4 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: For calculation of Kl only data on deals concluded in KASE secondary market sector by one of the open trade methods are accounted. The methodology of calculation of this indicator is available in the corresponding section of the document, released at http://www.kase.kz/mix/rsp.pdf in Russian and at http://www.kase.kz/eng/mix/rsp.pdf in English. Tab. 8. Top 10 most capitalized listing companies of KASE, shares of which were listed on the official list of securities of the Exchange (as on the moment of trades close on the indicated dates) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As on 31.03.09: As on 27.02.09: Trend: --------------- --------------------- ----------------- compa- Short or capitali- ny capitali- company capitali- contraction name zation stake zation stake zation stake of company rank m. USD % rank m. USD % m. USD pp ------------------- ---- ------- ------ ---- -------- ------- --------- ------- ENRC PLС 1 7,586.0 28.91 1 5,895.2 22.58 1,690.8 +6.33 KazMunaiGas Exploration Production JSC 2 6,180.4 23.55 2 5,227.7 20.02 952.7 +3.53 KAZAKHMYS PLС 3 2,451.3 9.34 4 4,599.1 17.62 -2,147.8 -8.27 ATF Bank JSC 4 1,745.2 6.65 3 2,033.1 7.79 -288.0 -1.14 Kazkommertsbank JSC 5 1,159.3 4.42 5 1,300.1 4.98 -140.8 -0.56 Astana-finance JSC 6 1,069.0 4.07 6 1,003.9 3.85 65.1 +0.23 Kazakhtelecom JSC 7 579.3 2.21 8 559.1 2.14 20.3 +0.07 Kaspi Bank JSC 8 554.6 2.11 7 551.6 2.11 2.9 +0.0005 Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan JSC 9 552.5 2.11 9 538.3 2.06 14.2 +0.04 SAT & Company 10 469.9 1.79 55 438.2 1.68 31.7 +0.11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes: The company stake, % - an indicator, received by cutting off market capitalization of the company to total capitalization of exchange market share of official list of securities of KASE and expressed in percent. As on the market close March 31, 2009 this indicator made USD26,239.3 m. 101 shares of 76 issuers were listed on the official list of KASE. [2009-04-13]