S&P affirmed ZAO UniCredit Bank ratings and revised its outlook to Negative
17.10.08 12:52
/Standard & Poor's, Moscow, October 16, 08/ - Standard & Poor's Ratings
Services said today that it had revised the outlook on ZAO UniCredit Bank
(UniCredit Russia) to negative from stable. At the same time the 'BBB+' long-term
and 'A-2' short-term counterparty credit ratings were affirmed.
"The outlook revision reflects our growing concerns about the impact of the
difficult operating environment in Russia, which could place downward pressure
on the bank's stand-alone creditworthiness. In addition, there is a possibility of
a lower level of parental support being factored into the rating than previously
considered, due to the increasing level of macroeconomic stress in Central and
Eastern Europe, which could restrict the capacity of UniCredit Russia's parent to
provide strong support in the future." said Standard & Poor's credit analyst Elena
Romanova.
For a more in-depth analysis on the impact of the ongoing liquidity squeeze and
stock market turbulence in Russia's banking sector, please see the article
"Financial Turbulence Tests Resilience Of Russian Banks And State Support For
Banking Sector," published on RatingsDirect on Sept. 22, 2008.
We consider UniCredit Russia to be a strategically important subsidiary within the
UniCredit SpA (UniCredit; A+/Negative/A-1) group and consider it likely that
UniCredit will support the bank's expansion and render support in a stress
scenario, for which we give a three-notch uplift to the stand-alone long-term
rating on UniCredit Russia.
The ratings currently reflect operational and financial support from UniCredito,
as well as UniCredit Russia's sustained good commercial performance, solid
positions in Russia's banking market, its healthy financial performance and stable
revenue structure, limited risk appetite, and relatively advanced risk-management
systems (which are increasingly integrated into group measures).
The ratings are constrained by the still-risky operating environment and volatile
financial markets in the Russian Federation (foreign currency BBB+/Stable/A-2;
local currency A-/Stable/A-2), the bank's aggressive growth strategy, and
remaining high single-party concentrations in its funding base.
"The outlook is negative, reflecting the potential negative impact of the ongoing
difficult operating environment in the Russian banking system and macro
economic factors on the financial performance of UniCredit Russia," said Ms.
Romanova.
In particular, weaker asset quality and profitability could lead to a lowering of
the bank's stand-alone creditworthiness. In addition, the continuing stress in
global markets, and specifically the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region, may
restrict the capacity of UniCredit to provide strong parental support.
A sustainable economic stabilization in Russia, which would relieve future
pressure on asset quality and UniCredit Russia's overall financial stand-alone
creditworthiness, might lead us to revise the outlook to stable, provided that the
UniCredit's support capacity is not restricted by macroeconomic stress in its
other CEE operations.
For more information:
Elena Romanova, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-91
Elena_Romanova@standardandpoors.com
John Gibling, London, 44 (207) 176-72-06
John_Gibling@standardandpoors.com
[2008-10-17]