/RESTATED/ ANALYSIS: As of October 1 2008 state debt of Kazakhstan, issued as GS, along with its servicing totaled KZT1,638.5 bn. or $13,672.2 m.
14.10.08 22:58
/IRBIS, Raushan Tundybayeva, October 14, 08, recent due to correction in
the first paragraph because of MEIKAM maturity/ - As of October 1, 2008,
the total state debt of Kazakhstan, issued as government securities (GS),
along with the servicing (the amount of coupon payments) made in current
prices KZT1,638.5 bn., or the equivalent of $13,672.2 m. at the rate of
KZT119.84 per a dollar. IRBIS specialists came to the conclusion after own
databases analysis. During this analysis, the amounts of future payments on
MEUJKAM and MUIKAM were calculated considering the consumer price
index, which was fixed for the period from October 2007 to September 2008
inclusive.
From September 1-30, 2008, the total debt in tenge equivalent increased by
KZT64.1 bn. (+4.1 %), in the dollar equivalent (taking into account change in
the National Bank exchange rate) by 502.0 m. (+3.8 %). Similar indicators of
debt change in August made up plus KZT155.4 bn. (+11.0 %) or plus
$1 363.5 m. (+11.5 %).
The following table contains more detailed information.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount and
structure of debt
------------------------------ Change
as of for the
*Currency of Sept. 30,08 as of period
------------- ------------------ Aug. 31, 08 ----------------
Issuer issue service bn. KZT stake, % bn. KZT m. KZT %
---------------- ----- ------- --------- -------- ----------- --------- -----
National Bank KZT KZT 480.030 29.3 434.119 +45,910.8 +10.6
---------------- ----- ------- --------- -------- ----------- --------- -----
Ministry of 1,140.239
Finance 1,158.441 70.7 +18,202.6 +1.6
incl. face value KZT KZT 739.929 45.2 690.672 +49,257.3 +7.1
incl. servicing KZT KZT 418.512 25.5 449.567 -31,054.7 -6.9
---------------- ----- ------- --------- -------- ----------- --------- -----
TOTAL 1,638.471 100.0 1,574.358 +64,113.4 +4.1
incl. facevalue 1,219.959 74.5 1,124.791 +95,168.2 +8.5
incl. servicing 418.512 25.5 449.567 -31,054.7 -6.9
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*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is expressed
in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of the rate of
tenge to US dollar.
Equivalents as of September 30, 2008 were valuated at the rate of
KZT119.84 per dollar, as of August 31, 2008 - at KZT119.54. Therefore, the
data shown in the table reflect the dynamics emerging, besides all other
factors, from the rate difference.
Similar figures in U.S. dollars are given in the table as follows.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Amount and
structure of debt
----------------------------- Change
as of for the
*Currency of Sept. 30,08 as of period
------------- ----------------- Aug. 31, 08 -----------------
Issuer issue service m. USD stake, % m. USD th. USD %
---------------- ----- ------- -------- -------- ----------- ---------- -----
National Bank KZT KZT 4,005.6 29.3 3,631.6 +374,009.9 +10.3
---------------- ----- ------- -------- -------- ----------- ---------- -----
Ministry of
Finance 9,666.6 70.7 9,538.6 +128,012.6 +1.3
incl. face value KZT KZT 6,174.3 45.2 5,777.7 +396,562.2 +6.9
incl. servicing KZT KZT 3,492.3 25.5 3,760.8 -268,549.5 -7.1
TOTAL 13,672.2 100.0 13,170.1 +502,022.5 +3.8
incl. face value 10,179.9 74.5 9,409.3 +770,572.0 +8.2
incl. servicing 3,492.3 25.5 3,760.8 -268,549.5 -7.1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is expressed
in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of the rate of
tenge to US dollar.
According to the data of IRBIS, the issue volume of the National Bank's GS
in September 2008 by offering amount was KZT317,999.9 m. (in August -
KZT420,388.0 m.). At that, the issuer paid off its notes on secondary market
to the sum of KZT276,662.8 m. (KZT317,377.1 m.). Thus, in September the
net-borrowing balance of the National Bank on GS market made up plus
KZT41 337.1 m. The corresponding index in August made up plus
KZT103 010.9 m. (the "minus" sign in the balance indicator means that the
mentioned sum was withdrawn from issuer's budget and remained in
investors, the "plus" sign - issuer borrowed more than redeemed).
In September, the Ministry of Finance borrowed due to MEKAM offering
KZT46,531.4 m. (in August - KZT42,646.3 m.) and paid face values of
bonds and coupon payments to the sum of KZT10,241.8 m. (in August -
KZT7,329.7 m.). September net-borrowing balance of the Ministry of Finance
is estimated by IRBIS at plus KZT48,522.5 m. (in August - plus
KZT59,606.9 m.).
Total September net-borrowing balance of all Kazakhstan GS issuers was
estimated by IRBIS at plus KZT89,859.6 m. Similar indicator of August -
plus KZT162,617.7 m.
IRBIS Agency draws attention of subscribers and the mass media that the
data given below are not the official statistics and received as a result of the
information analysis, containing in database of the agency on the primary GS
market. In part of internal bonds the bases of the agency are adjusted by
data provided to IRBIS by Central Securities Depository JSC (Almaty).
[2008-10-14]