ANALYSIS: In May 2008 turnover of market of corporate bonds on KASE grew on the background of series of "inner" deals

23.06.08 23:16
/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, June 23, 08/ - In May 2008 on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) 290 deals were made with corporate bonds in all sectors of the market, including deals, performed on the special trading floor of the Regional financial center of Almay (STF RFCA) for a total of KZT31.3 bn. or USD259.8 m. at the current rate effective on deals concluding dates. The stated amount is 34.0% of monthly turnover of corporate securities market (in April - 61.5%) and 1.4% of monthly exchange turnover (0.8%). Increasing of market turnover happened at the expense of activation of trade activity on STF RFCA, at which came 60.1% of deals volume with corporate bonds. However, 99.0% of these deals bear "inner" character. Decreasing of the corporate bonds market's stake in total volume of trades with corporate securities indicates that the level of investment activity for this segment is still low. The price background of corporate bonds market in May looked as follows: from 84 bonds denominations, included in deals on secondary market, with discount were traded debt instruments of 68 denominations, with premium - 17. KDTSb1 looked most re-purchased, weighted average price of which made 128.3%, re-sold - EXBNb1 (59.6 %). Let us remind that in April deals are conducted with bonds of 82 denominations, with discount were traded 63 instruments, with premium - 17, at face value - 2. KZIKb8 looked most re- purchased, weighted average price of which made 120.4%, re-sold - ASFIb11 (63.0 %). Weighted average net price of corporate bonds on the secondary market fell to 92.4% compared to 93.5% in April. For the month according to concluded deals bond's yield to maturity for buyer increased at 44 instruments (in April - at 45), decreased at 32 (30), yield of 5 instruments was nothing to compare with (4). Below are the tables, characterizing this segment of exchange market in May 2008. Tab. 1. Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in May of 2008 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Month: ------------------ Trend May To Apr To May Indicator 2008 2008 2008 ------------------------------------------- --------- ------- ------------- Trades volume, th., USD 259,853.7 +37.7,% -14.5,% Trades volume, m., KZT 31,332.4 +37.9,% -14.8,% including, on offerings, th. USD 53.3 Х 0.003,times including, on offerings, m. KZT 6.4 Х 0.003,times including, on STF RFCA, th. USD 156,119.0 +51.5,% 1,854.2,times including, on STF RFCA, m. KZT 18,825.3 +51.6,% 1,826.4,times Number of deals 290 -23.9,% +20.8,% Day average number of deals 14 -17.1,% +31.6,% Day average voluem of deals, th. USD 12,920.3 +50.7,% -6.0,% Day average voluem of deals, m. KZT 1,557.9 +50.8,% -6.2,% Number of instruments, 86 +4.9,% +30.3,% involved in deals Stake of nego deals (number), % 0.3 -3.6,% -2.2,% Stake of nego deals (volume), % 0.00001 -0.1,% -1.2,% Participation of pension assets, % gross 11.8 +1.5,% -0.1,% Participation of physical entities, % gross 6.4 -6.8,% -8.0,% Participation of non residents, % gross 17.3 +13.2,% -2.2,% Number of exchange's members, 37 -14.0,% +2.8,% who made deals Market concentration, %* 68.6 +22.0,% +8.7,% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ *it is specified the percentage out of total turnover of corporate bonds, which are numbered by the most traded securities (their quantity is 5% out of the total quantity of titles of corporate bonds, included in trading list of KASE) Tab. 2. Branch characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE* ------------------------------------------------------------------ Stake from total market volume (%) in: -------------------------------------- Branch May 2008 Apr. 2008 May 2007 -------------------------- ----------- ------------ ----------- Industry 67.8 3.4 13.1 Finance 25.5 86.8 79.1 Main consumer sector 3.5 0.8 4.0 Utilities sector 2.5 5.3 1.6 Energy 0.4 0.1 0.8 Public health 0.2 0.1 Х Primary sector 0.1 2.9 1.4 Information technologies Х 0.3 0.1 Discretionary consumer sector Х 0.3 Х Telecommunication services Х Х Х ------------------------------------------------------------------ *branch classification of turnover structure was made in compliance with list of classification headings of Global lndustry Classification Standard (GICS) Standart and Poor's Tab.3 Change of lists of corporate bonds, traded on KASE, in May 2008 --------------------------------------------------------- Bonds: Issuers: Category of ------------- Instruments ------------- admission number trend number trend number trend ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- A 206 0 206 0 64 -1 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- B 30 0 30 0 30 0 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- A+B 236 0 236 0 94 -1 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- C (STF RFCA) 61 +2 61 +2 25 +1 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- A+B+C 243 +2 297 +2 99 0 --------------------------------------------------------- Notes: "A", "B" - categories of the official list of KASE; "C" - category of the official list of STF RFCA in connection with launch of STF RFCA for the security (bond) of one denomination, two exchange instruments, differing with the code, with conditions of trades holding and payment making, can go with. Tab. 4. Main indicators of KASE's corporate bond market in May 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Market. value of Index Volume of Volume of debt, KASE_BY, Index Index deals, deals, Date USD m. % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC th. USD m. KZT -------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- --------- 30.04.08 12 194.1 10.14 247.08 148.16 3,172.1 381.9 04.05.08 12 199.3 9.88 248.46 149.03 2,045.0 246.1 05.05.08 12 193.2 9.90 248.46 149.10 7,893.4 951.0 06.05.08 12 208.4 9.91 249.65 149.86 316.4 38.1 07.05.08 12 194.9 9.93 250.06 150.17 129.3 15.6 08.05.08 12 191.9 9.93 250.58 150.53 10,412.0 1,255.3 12.05.08 12 192.0 9.94 250.93 150.80 289.1 34.9 13.05.08 12 181.9 9.94 252.14 151.59 769.6 92.8 14.05.08 12 183.6 9.96 252.29 151.62 10,236.1 1,234.2 15.05.08 12 170.6 10.45 250.53 150.41 9,685.7 1,169.4 16.05.08 12 172.6 10.40 254.79 153.47 396.6 47.9 19.05.08 12 173.1 10.45 254.86 153.48 1,571.9 189.7 20.05.08 12 174.9 10.41 256.07 154.32 2,393.3 288.7 21.05.08 12 174.7 10.45 255.69 154.06 40,865.7 4,928.0 22.05.08 12 175.2 10.21 256.66 154.85 41,952.6 5,058.6 23.05.08 12 180.4 10.38 256.48 154.52 9,139.6 1,102.1 26.05.08 12 183.3 9.98 260.07 157.07 5,054.7 609.2 27.05.08 12 164.9 10.06 258.28 155.74 83,924.9 10,119.7 28.05.08 12 184.1 9.70 263.15 159.27 8,134.8 980.6 29.05.08 12 190.7 9.67 261.11 157.82 7,750.1 933.7 30.05.08 12 185.7 9.66 261.84 158.37 15,445.9 1,862.3 -------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- --------- Тренд -8.4 -0.5 +14.8 +10.2 % -0.1 -4.7 +6.0 +6.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Tab. 5. Summary data on the results of bond trades on KASE in May 2008 (purchase and sale, including offerings, without consideration of nego deals) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR: --------------------------------------------- For Code of At a last deal: last 365 days: Volume of bond --------------- -------------- deals, Number on KASE min. max. yield Trend, % min. max. th. USD Of deals ------- ----- ----- ----- -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- aAPKIb1 15.00 15.07 15.07 15.00 15.07 77,479.0 6 aAPKIb2 15.00 15.06 15.06 15.00 15.06 77,089.3 6 aATFBb4 13.00 13.00 13.00 10.00 13.00 30.9 2 aBTTRb1 16.00 16.00 16.00 -2.39 9.08 18.39 19.8 1 AGKKb1 8.10 15.50 11.10 +2.10 8.10 15.50 7,379.0 21 AKKMb1 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 414.9 2 ALBNb2 12.20 12.20 12.20 +0.20 12.00 12.20 2,081.1 1 ASBNb1 27.90 27.90 27.90 0 10.01 111.04 10.8 1 ASBNb3 22.00 22.00 22.00 8.61 22.00 23.7 1 ASFIb10 9.49 9.50 9.50 9.12 14.00 585.1 6 ASFIb11 9.50 16.00 9.50 -6.00 9.50 16.00 7,774.2 5 ASFIb12 9.70 9.70 9.70 8.43 10.50 16.2 1 ASFIb15 12.00 12.00 12.00 8.50 15.00 2,711.9 2 ASFIb16 14.00 16.00 16.00 14.00 16.00 500.1 2 ASFIb4 15.00 16.00 16.00 0 9.48 16.00 172.2 5 ASFIb5 12.11 14.50 14.50 +0.20 9.79 15.50 376.1 3 ASFIb7 15.00 15.00 15.00 0 11.00 17.52 34.4 2 ATFBb3 11.50 11.50 11.50 -2.00 6.85 14.00 510.5 4 ATFBb4 14.50 14.50 14.50 0 7.00 15.00 236.8 4 BGSTb1 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 414.9 2 BIGRb1 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 414.9 2 BTAIb12 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.45 7.50 5,808.2 3 BTAIb4 15.50 17.30 17.30 +0.89 8.90 106.15 512.7 3 BTAIb8 15.01 15.01 15.01 -0.01 10.50 15.01 7,282.9 1 BTASb1 13.50 16.25 14.50 -0.50 9.00 27.33 2,740.9 7 BTASb4 16.90 17.00 17.00 +1.00 9.44 47.47 79.9 3 BTASb7 7.00 8.54 7.00 -1.60 6.73 14.00 12,662.2 10 BTLZb1 35.44 35.44 35.44 7.73 35.44 45.2 1 BTTRb1 17.00 19.70 17.00 -0.50 6.99 19.70 6,201.3 4 CACMb1 13.48 15.45 15.45 +1.95 9.75 15.45 151.0 4 CCBNb10 10.50 10.50 10.50 7.50 10.50 64.3 1 CCBNb14 18.00 18.00 18.00 +2.00 7.50 18.00 79.6 1 CCBNb15 9.50 9.50 9.50 9.20 10.50 56.6 1 CCBNb3 13.00 13.00 13.00 0 8.58 17.35 133.9 1 CCBNb7 16.00 16.00 16.00 +4.00 7.50 16.30 114.9 1 CCBNb8 13.00 13.00 13.00 +3.34 9.66 13.00 31.2 1 CSBNb3 10.50 10.50 10.50 9.30 12.00 25.8 2 CSBNb4 10.50 10.50 10.50 9.80 12.00 186.2 8 CSBNb6 11.75 11.75 11.75 0 9.11 16.10 28.4 2 DNTLb1 12.00 12.00 12.00 0 11.96 12.30 103.8 2 DTJLb1 8.50 11.50 8.50 0 7.00 12.00 10,940.9 10 EKTNb1 11.50 14.11 14.11 11.00 14.11 2,541.1 6 ELDSb1 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 414.7 2 EXBNb1 22.00 22.00 22.00 0 9.11 22.00 21.9 2 EXBNb2 21.00 21.00 21.00 +1.00 12.00 21.00 27.9 2 FRMPb1 6.89 8.24 6.89 -1.38 6.89 8.27 462.6 3 HSBKb3 11.00 11.00 11.00 6.92 93.00 15.4 1 HSBKb8 9.70 9.70 9.70 -0.30 7.70 12.00 583.0 1 IKBKb1 20.00 20.00 20.00 +4.00 16.00 25.00 86.1 1 KAFIb1 12.00 12.00 12.00 6.75 12.00 43.6 1 KARMb2 10.50 12.00 11.30 7.50 12.00 1,008.0 3 KASTb2 10.00 11.00 10.90 +0.90 9.99 12.00 619.0 4 KATRb1 16.00 16.00 16.00 0 10.83 16.00 6,013.3 9 KAZIb1 11.00 12.80 12.80 +1.80 11.00 12.80 34.6 2 KAZIb2 13.50 14.00 14.00 +1.50 10.50 14.00 68.8 2 KDTSb1 11.00 11.00 11.00 9.50 12.50 20.8 1 KIBNb3 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 14.00 28.8 1 KKAGb1 12.54 12.54 12.54 10.30 19.00 55.1 1 KKAGb3 14.12 14.12 14.12 -6.98 10.00 21.30 23.6 1 KKGBb2 24.94 24.94 24.94 9.00 24.94 9.6 1 KSMKb2 9.00 10.05 10.05 9.00 11.00 1,922.0 3 KZDKb1 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 414.9 2 KZIKb3 17.60 17.60 17.60 7.88 18.60 18.0 1 KZIKb5 12.00 12.00 12.00 -2.05 11.40 15.65 38.3 2 MREKb2 14.00 15.00 14.00 0 9.05 16.50 54.7 3 MREKb3 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 28.7 1 MREKb4 8.80 8.80 8.80 +0.80 8.00 9.45 122.0 1 NRBNb4 13.50 13.50 13.50 9.00 19.50 15.2 1 NRBNb6 13.20 13.20 13.20 0 13.20 14.00 7,129.2 1 ORDKb1 12.13 15.00 15.00 +1.54 11.99 15.03 261.1 10 ORNKb1 21.37 21.37 21.37 +1.52 10.00 26.85 2,352.8 4 TEBNb16 10.00 10.00 10.00 +1.50 7.99 12.00 154.9 2 TEBNb2 13.00 13.00 13.00 0 6.00 17.00 2.0 1 TSASb1 11.93 12.00 11.93 11.92 12.00 984.8 3 TSBNb2 16.00 16.00 16.00 10.74 16.00 1.9 1 TSBNb3 12.50 12.50 12.50 9.00 12.50 82.1 1 TSBNb4 16.00 17.00 17.00 0 8.50 17.00 2,802.4 2 TSBNb5 14.00 14.00 14.00 +0.01 10.00 14.00 36.4 2 TSNAb1 11.00 11.00 11.00 10.22 11.00 415.1 2 TSSMb1 12.50 16.50 12.50 10.69 18.00 2,497.4 2 TXBNb2 12.00 12.00 12.00 -0.20 9.10 13.50 368.4 6 TXBNb3 12.00 12.00 12.00 7.00 12.00 90.4 6 VITAb4 12.71 29.00 21.00 -7.00 10.00 29.00 336.7 18 VITAb5 18.21 29.00 22.00 -1.00 9.59 29.00 620.8 20 ------- ----- ----- ----- -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- 84 258,353.6 284 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - April 2008. In the code of bond by the number is noted the number of bonds' issue. In case of number absence (old quotation) is meant the first emission. The full list of codes of issuers is available at http://www.kase.kz/instruments/nzb_code.htm. [2008-06-23]