S&P REVISED RATINGS OF KAZAKHSTAN COMPANIES, CONNECTED WITH THE GOVERNMENT DUE TO THE CHANGE OF FORECAST OF KAZAKHSTAN COMPANIES RATINGS TO "NEGATIVE"
30.04.08 11:03
/Standard & Poor's, Moscow, April 29, 08/ - Standard & Poor's Ratings
Services said today that it revised its outlook to negative from stable on
several sovereign and corporate government-related entities (GREs) and
their subsidiaries: Kazakhstan Electricity Grid Operating Co. (JSC)
(KEGOC); JSC NC KazMunayGas (KMG) and subsidiary JSC
KazMunaiGas Exploration Production (KMG EP), along with KMG
subsidiary KazTransGas (KTG); Development Bank of Kazakhstan (DBK);
Kazakh Agrarian Credit Corp. (KACC); Mortgage Guarantee Fund of
Kazakhstan (JSC) (MGFK); and Kazpost (JSC). We also revised the outlook
on KMG subsidiary KazTransOil (KTO) to stable from positive. At the same
time, we lowered the Kazakhstan national scale ratings on KACC to 'kzAA-'
from 'kzAA', on MGFK to 'kzA' from 'kzA+', and on Kazpost to 'kzA+' from
kzAA-'. We also affirmed the 'BB+' long-term issuer credit and 'kzAA-'
Kazakhstan national scale ratings on Kazakstan Temir Zholy and its
subsidiary JSC Kaztemirtrans. See the ratings list below for the entities
affected.
The rating actions followed the revision of the outlook to negative from
stable on the Republic of Kazakhstan (foreign currency BBB-/Negative/A-3;
local currency BBB/Negative/A-3; Kazakhstan national scale rating 'kzAAA').
KMG, KEGOC, DBK, KACC, MGFC and Kazpost, are 100% government-
owned entities, with public policy-based mandates from the state. We
therefore apply our GRE criteria to rate these entities. For all these entities,
we use a top-down rating approach with relation to the state, reflecting their
public-policy mandate and the strong likelihood that they will receive
extraordinary government support in case of financial distress. This results
in a higher rating than the entities' stand-alone credit quality warrants.
The outlook revisions on the above entities reflect our expectation that the
ratings will move in line with the sovereign ratings. The negative outlooks on
these entities reflect the negative outlook on the sovereign, as well as our
continued expectation that they would receive extraordinary support from the
Republic of Kazakhstan in case of financial distress.
The ratings and outlook on KMG's subsidiaries KMG EP and KTG are linked
to that of the parent and will likely remain one and two notches, respectively,
below the rating on the parent.
The outlook revision on KazTransOil to stable from positive highlights the
limited potential ratings upside, given the negative outlook on the rating on
parent KMG. But the 'BB+' stand-alone credit quality of KTO offers some
protection against ratings downside.
The affirmation of the rating on KTZ reflects our assessment of the railway
operator's stand-alone credit quality at 'BB+'. A negative change in the
sovereign rating will therefore not automatically trigger a negative rating
action on KTZ.
The rating on KTZ's subsidiary JSC Kaztemirtrans will continue to be
pegged to the rating and outlook on its parent, KTZ.
RATINGS LIST
-------------------------------------------------------
To From
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Kazakhstan Electricity Grid
Operating Co. (JSC)
Corporate credit rating
BB+/Negative/- BB+/Stable/-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
JSC NC KazMunayGas
Corporate credit rating
BBB-/Negative/- BBB-/Stable/-
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzAA kzAA
-------------------------------------- ---------------
JSC KazMunaiGas Exploration Production
Corporate credit rating
BB+/Negative/- BB+/Stable/-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
KazTransGas
Corporate credit rating
ВВ/Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Development Bank of Kazakhstan
Issuer credit rating
ВВB-/Negative/A-3 ВВB-/Stable/A-3
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Kazakh Agrarian Credit Corp.
Issuer credit rating
BB+/Negative/B BB+/Stable/B
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzAA- kzAA
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Mortgage Guarantee Fund of Kazakhstan
(JSC)
Issuer credit rating
ВВ/Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzA kzA+
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Kazpost (JSC)
Issuer credit rating
ВВ/Negative/- ВВ/Stable/-
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzA+ kzAA-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
KazTransOil
Corporate credit rating
BB+/Stable/- BB+/Positive/-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
Kazakhstan Temir Zholy
Corporate credit rating
BB+/Stable/- BB+/Stable/-
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzAA- kzAA-
-------------------------------------- ---------------
JSC Kaztemirtrans
Corporate credit rating
BB+/Stable/- BB+/Stable/-
Kazakhstan national scale rating
kzAA- kzAA-
-------------------------------------------------------
NB: This list does not include all ratings affected.
Primary Credit Analysts:
Elena Anankina, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-41-30
Eugene Korovin, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-90
Ben Faulks, London, 44 (207) 176-71-08
Felix Ejgel, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-60
Boris Kopeykin, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-40-62
Secondary Credit Analysts:
Sergei Gorin, Moscow, 7 (495) 783-41-32
Lidia Polakovic, London, 44 (207) 176-39-85
Analysts e-mails:
Elena_Anankina@standardandpoors.com
eugene_korovin@standardandpoors.com
ben_faulks@standardandpoors.com
felix_ejgel@standardandpoors.com
boris_kopeykin@standardandpoors.com
sergei_gorin@standardandpoors.com
lidia_polakovic@standardandpoors.com
[2008-04-30]