ANALYSIS: Liquidity rating of KASE listing shares on the secondary market in March and over the first three months of 2008

07.04.08 20:12
/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, April 7, 08/ - IRBIS information agency of financial markets (Almaty) has made liquidity rating of listing companies shares, traded on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE) in March of 2008. The first 10 positions of the rating are given below. To the stake of these shares in March had come 37.6% of turnover of corresponding sector of exchange market. Over the specified period, deals with shares of 32 names have been made on KASE's open secondary market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl): Liquidity ------------------------------------------ Position Position indi- volume number number in March. in Share cator of deals, number of KASE of success- 2008 Feb. 2008 symbol (Kl) m. KZT of deals members ful days --------- --------- ------- --------- ---------- -------- ------- ----------- 1 3 RDGZ 2.61 1,485.9 264 58 18 2 2 BTAS 1.96 1,438.7 154 43 19 3 4 CCBN 1.82 678.4 165 38 18 4 1 KKGB 1.38 250.0 82 36 16 5 12 GB_KZMS 1.25 194.8 80 28 17 6 6 HSBK 1.24 626.6 65 30 16 7 8 KKGBp 1.21 550.7 72 27 16 8 5 KZTK 1.05 259.8 65 21 16 9 10 HSBKp1 0.80 117.0 26 11 19 10 14 MMGZp 0.65 321.5 36 11 11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The "newcomers" of "liquid ten" relative to February 2008 had become GB_KZMS (12 th position in February), MMGZp (14 th position), having replaced TEBN (7th position in January) and TEBNp (9th position). In March the deals with common shares KAZAKHMYS PLC (GB_KZMS) were made actively enough. In total, during the concerned period of GB_KZMS price quotation, they experienced 3 waves of rise of investment interest both on London Stock Exchange and on home organized market. The largest volume of deals was fixed on March 5, before the day when preliminary financial results for 2007 were published, however the next day market enthusiasm decreased three times. The second leap (March 13) was provoked by Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation (ENRC) claim that company's representatives conducted informal meetings with KAZAKHMYS PLC directors with the aim to study the possibility of embodiment (after the announcement, the share price of the company on LSE increased on 14 %).The refutation, made the same day by KAZAKHMYS PLC about conducting embodiment meeting followed after led to quotation collapse. The third wave came on March 25, when information appeared that Kazakhstan Government intended to purchase a share in the company at the rate under 15%. At this time the company confirmed the conducting of preliminary meeting with the Government on some alternatives. They include the possibility for KAZAKHMYS PLC to purchase assets of minerals in Kazakhstan in exchange for minority interest purchasing by the Government in the company. The appearance of preferred shares of Mangistaumunaygas JSC (MMGZp) wasn't conditioned by the growth of speculative activity of deals with mentioned documents. In this relation the decreasing of rating of Daughter Organization TuranAlem bank JSC and Temirbank JSC(TEBN, TEBNp) shares liquidity played it's role. The volume of trades in March on TEBN decreased in 42.8 times, along with this the volume of trades on TEBNp increased in 2.6 times. Judging by this, the market is tired to support the artificial interest to common shares of Temirbank JSC (let us remind that in February, 2008, 93.6% of deals with TEBN were "inner"). The table below contains the first 10 positions of the rating, made by the results of shares trades on KASE for the first three months of 2008. Stake of these "ten" in total turnover of shares market of KASE made 62.4%. During this period shares of 53 instrument names were involved in deals of KASE's open secondary market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl): ----------------------------------------------- Share volume number number Position symbol Kl of deals, number of KASE of effective days m. KZT of deals members -------- ------- ---- --------- -------- ------- ----------------- 1 KKGB 2.74 6,728.2 1,241 104 57 2 RDGZ 2.24 4,270.0 935 85 59 3 BTAS 2.06 12,884.3 505 69 58 4 CCBN 1.79 4,176.4 601 68 58 5 HSBK 1.14 916.2 214 52 51 6 KZTK 1.05 1,275.6 209 43 49 7 KKGBp 0.96 1,941.5 165 38 46 8 GB_KZMS 0.79 295.8 133 33 42 9 TEBN 0.73 9,366.5 49 14 23 10 TSBN 0.67 270.0 100 30 34 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Notes The rating is based on liquidity indicator (Kl), which is calculated for each share on a specified period. Positions are rated by sorting shares in descending order of Kl (the higher Kl, the higher liquidity is and the lower position in the rating). The first position in the rating corresponds to the highest Kl value. Description of liquidity indicator calculation methods is available in the proper section of the document, published at: http://www.kase.kz/mix/rsp.pdf in Russian and at http://www.kase.kz/eng/mix/rsp.pdf in English. IRBIS agency draws attention to the fact that while calculating the liquidity indicator only data on deals, made in KASE secondary market sector (including special trading floor of the regional financial center of Almaty) by one of open trade methods, are taken into account. "p" letter in the end of the symbol means preferred shares, other letters - common shares. Full list of symbols of issuers and securities traded on KASE is available at http://www.kase.kz/instruments/nzb_code.htm Material given above is not an offer or recommendation to sell or buy shares on KASE. The using of it by anyone while taking investment decisions does not make IRBIS agency responsible for possible losses, resulting from such the decisions. [2008-04-07]