ANALYSIS: Dynamics of conventional pension unit of Kazakhstan APF from the beginning of the activity till March 1, 2008

/IRBIS, Vitaliy Tomskiy, March 18, 08/ - The following table comprises values of conventional pension unit (CPU) of Kazakhstan accumulative pension funds (APF) as of March 1, 2008, presented to IRBIS agency to spread by Agency of Republic of Kazakhstan for regulation and supervision of financial market and financial organizations, and also dynamics of this indicator for the different periods of funds' activity (calculated by IRBIS). The efficiency of assets management should be judged not by absolute value of CPU, but by speed of its changing, as absolute value of unit depends on the term of fund's activity. Exactly by this reason IRBIS agency operates in the table by speed of CPU changing in different periods, expressed in percentage APR (these indicators are given without parenthesis). This indicator for each year was received as differences between final and initial values of CPU referred to initial value, expressed in percentage, after that divided by number of days in the period and multiply by 365. According to IRBIS's specialists, received indicator may be considered as indicated yield of fund's assets in the period for depositor (without taking into account of inflation influence). Funds have been sorted out by order, which corresponds to the start of their activity in the market. Trends are given in parenthesis: for CPU value - in percents relative to corresponding data as of February 1, 2008, for CPU changing - in percentage items (i.e. value of previous period is deducted from the current yield expressed as percents per annum) relative to the same date. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CPU change, % APR Value --------------------------------------------------------------- since the beginning of: over the last Activity of ---------------------------------- --------------------------- Start CPU on acti- Fund date March 1, 08 vity 2005 2006 2007 6 mon. 3 mon. 1 mon. ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- SAPF Jan 15, 98 357.375 26.04 6.81 8.17 5.82 4.95 5.36 6.44 (+0.51) (+0.18) (+0.03) (-0.02) (+0.07) (-1.03) (-1.65) (+7.98) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- HBK Feb 24, 98 454.898 36.32 12.57 13.04 8.07 8.87 7.68 10.37 (+0.82) (+0.38) (+0.05) (+0.01) (+0.23) (+3.49) (-2.53) (+17.14) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Atam Mar 22, 98 456.837 36.78 10.38 9.68 6.27 5.13 1.95 25.78 (+2.05) (+0.95) (+0.60) (+0.80) (+1.53) (+3.33) (+5.93) (+54.53) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Ku- Mar 24, 98 384.619 29.35 10.89 10.83 8.59 2.50 9.07 10.44 naev (+0.83) (+0.33) (+0.08) (+0.07) (+0.20) (+1.41) (+6.69) (+1.70) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Kaz- Apr 19, 98 444.404 35.78 10.48 10.22 9.52 12.86 12.58 11.14 mys (+0.88) (+0.40) (+0.11) (+0.12) (+0.20) (+2.50) (-3.74) (+10.57) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- UlUm Apr 20, 98 439.373 35.27 10.79 10.87 9.88 11.70 9.06 9.93 (+0.79) (+0.36) (+0.06) (+0.05) (+0.08) (-1.33) (-6.51) (+23.52) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Kaz-n Apr 28, 98 554.894 47.38 23.06 26.93 11.33 12.33 26.69 26.00 (+2.07) (+1.17) (+0.54) (+0.51) (+1.28) (+5.57) (+9.63) (+9.06) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- NGD June 7, 98 401.271 31.74 8.04 7.65 7.96 10.47 0.11 -1.46 (-0.12) (-0.05) (-0.25) (-0.36) (-0.70) (+1.07) (-13.40) (+4.64) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Gran- Mar 3, 99 280.592 20.63 7.12 7.07 4.68 7.56 15.00 9.78 tum (+0.78) (+0.25) (+0.12) (+0.16) (+0.41) (+4.01) (+3.69) (-0.48) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- SE June 20, 99 222.815 14.67 8.62 6.60 3.04 7.81 8.21 5.91 NIM (+0.47) (+0.12) (-0.03) (<0.01) (+0.22) (+1.72) (-2.99) (+0.79) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Kor- Dec 12, 99 203.437 12.92 8.98 8.77 7.75 8.69 10.12 13.64 gau (+1.08) (+0.27) (+0.22) (+0.28) (+0.51) (+2.67) (+1.72) (+3.99) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Otan Nov 26, 01 173.496 12.22 11.88 12.83 11.02 12.21 11.67 10.49 (+0.833) (+0.24) (+0.06) (+0.02) (+0.05) (+2.62) (-3.44) (+2.60) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- Kapi- Mar 6, 02 163.026 10.98 12.06 13.34 11.18 9.10 15.45 10.41 tal (+0.83) (+0.23) (+0.06) (-0.00) (+0.04) (+1.82) (+0.81) (-5.81) ----- ----------- ----------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------- -------- RES May 18, 07 107.077 13.11 - - - 12.17 17.03 8.46 (+0.67) (+1.32) - - - (-0.19) (-0.28) (-10.56) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The table below let us observe dynamics of the described above indicator of CPU changing (% APR) in monthly terms for the last 12 months. Funds are sorted out in alphabetical order in this table. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year 2007 Year 2008 ----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------ ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Ave- Fund III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II rage ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Atam +5.5 +7.7 +5.8 +6.2 +9.9 +4.8 +5.5 +12.6 +6.5 +11.0 -28.7 +25.8 +6.0 VTF -104 +2.2 Х Х X X X Х Х Х Х Х -51.0 SAPF +16 +2.8 -2.3 +5.7 +8.4 +12.1 -4.0 +5.7 +11.4 +11.2 -1.5 +6.4 +6.0 Gran- +6.5 -4.2 +10.3 +11.5 -3.1 -12.8 +7 -5.4 -1 +24.1 +10.3 +9.8 +4.4 tum Kaz- +5.1 +5.6 +30.1 +20 +13.8 -6.1 +13 -15.4 -2.3 +35.5 +16.9 +26.0 +11.8 n Kaz- -0.8 +2 +4.1 +14.6 +1.4 -2.4 +6.7 +8.8 +22.4 +25.7 +0.6 +11.1 +7.8 mys Kapi +4.2 +32 +23.8 +13.8 +10.8 +0.1 -8.6 +7.7 +8.1 +18.9 +16.2 +10.4 +11.4 tal Kor- +7.3 +7.4 +19.9 +6.5 +3.8 -1.7 +0.6 +11.8 +8.3 +7.1 +9.6 +13.6 +7.9 gau Ku- +5.7 +4.1 +39.9 +17.7 +16.4 +1.6 -1.8 -0.5 -9.9 +7.9 +8.7 +10.4 +8.4 naev NBK -2.7 +15 +22.1 +14.2 +1 -9.2 +9.1 +2.6 +17.9 +19.6 -6.8 +10.4 +7.8 NGD +5.3 +5.4 +5.4 +12.6 +15.3 -6.2 +0.3 +21.5 +39.6 +7.8 -6.1 -1.5 +8.3 Otan -5.2 +12 +19.3 +1 +23.6 -3.7 +5.6 +10.2 +20.9 +16.3 +7.9 +10.5 +9.9 RES - - - - - +9.8 +5.7 +5.4 +9.6 +22.4 +19.0 +8.5 +11.5 SE- -3.3 -31 -0.7 +0.8 +13 -3.5 +2.9 +3.8 +15 +13.3 +5.1 +5.9 +1.8 NIM UlUm -7 +14 -5.1 +9.9 +23.2 +17.3 -5.1 +16.7 +29.6 +31.1 -13.6 +9.9 +10.1 ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Ave- -4.8 +5.4 +13.3 +10.3 +10.6 <0.01 +2.6 +6.1 +12.6 +18.0 +2.7 +10.5 +7.3 rage --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbreviations are used in the table for compactness, as follows: VTF - PAP Valut-Tranzit-Fund JSC; Kunaev - PAPF of open type named after Kunaev JSC; Atam - APF Atameken JSC; Kaz-n - till December 30, 05 -APF BTA Kurmet-Kazakhstan JSC, afterwards - APF BTA Kazakhstan JSC; HBK - APF of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan JSC; Kazmys - APF Kazakhmys JSC; UlUm - till Oct 1,01 OAPF Ular CJSC, afterwards - APF UlarUmit CJSC; NGD - APF NefteGas-DEM CJSC; Kurmet - POAPF Kurmet JSC; Grantum - till April 6, 06 - ABN AMRO-KaspiyMunayGas APF JSC, afterwards - GRANTUM APF JSC (Subsidiary company of Kazkommertsbank JSC); SENIM - OAPF Senim JSC; Korgau - APF Korgau JSC; PMK - KAPF Philip Morris Kazakhstan JSC; Otan - OAPF OTAN JSC; SAPF - Accumulative pension fund SAPF JSC; Capital - APF CAPITAL JSC ; RES - APF RESPUBLIKA JSC ; "Х" - data are absent due to inactivity or liquidation. [2008-03-18]