ANALYSIS: Dynamics of conventional pension unit of Kazakhstan APF from the beginning of the activity till October 1, 2007

/IRBIS, Vitaliy Tomskiy, November 8, 07/ - The following table comprises values of conventional pension unit (CPU) of Kazakhstan accumulative pension funds (APF) as of October 1, 2007, presented to IRBIS agency to spread by Agency of Republic of Kazakhstan for regulation and supervision of financial market and financial organizations, and also dynamics of this indicator for the different periods of funds' activity (calculated by IRBIS). The efficiency of assets management should be judged not by absolute value of CPU, but by speed of its changing, as absolute value of unit depends on the term of fund's activity. Exactly by this reason IRBIS agency operates in the table by speed of CPU changing in different periods, expressed in percentage APR (these indicators are given without parenthesis). This indicator for each year was received as differences between final and initial values of CPU referred to initial value, expressed in percentage, after that divided by number of days in the period and multiply by 365. According to IRBIS's specialists, received indicator may be considered as indicated yield of fund's assets in the period for depositor (without taking into account of inflation influence). Funds have been sorted out by order, which corresponds to the start of their activity in the market. Trends are given in parenthesis: for CPU value - in percents relative to corresponding data as of September 1, 2007, for CPU changing - in percentage items (i.e. value of previous period is deducted from the current yield expressed as percents per annum) relative to the same date. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CPU change, % APR -------------------------------------------------------- Value ----------------------- since the beginning of: Activity of -------------------------------- ----------------------- start CPU on acti- Fund date October 1,07 vity 2004 2005 2006 6 mon. 3 mon. 1 mon. ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- SAPF 15.01.98 347.6908 25.50 5.42 6.64 5.27 5.45 10.35 -4.05 (-0.32) (-0.33) (-0.22) (-0.34) (-0.30) (-1.85) (+1.46) (-16.2) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- HBK 24.02.98 438.8849 35.28 10.25 12.69 8.63 8.57 -4.18 9.11 (+0.72) (+0.04) (+0.05) (-0.01) (+0.08) (+1.90) (-5.90) (+18.3) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Atam 22.03.98 447.4305 36.44 10.31 10.96 6.72 6.93 7.31 5.46 (+0.43) (-0.10) (-0.06) (-0.12) (-0.008) (+0.21) (+0.33) (+0.69) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Ku- 24.03.98 379.3627 29.32 10.44 11.87 7.92 13.36 5.51 -1.79 naev (-0.14) (-0.30) (-0.28) (-0.42) (-0.30) (-1.18) (-6.30) (-3.38) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Kaz- 19.04.98 419.9730 33.83 8.38 9.40 5.61 3.85 -0.53 6.66 mys (+0.53) (-0.05) (+0.01) (-0.03) (+0.06) (+0.78) (-4.86) (+9.06) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- UlUm 20.04.98 413.5976 33.17 8.51 9.56 5.92 12.15 20.38 -5.10 (-0.41) (-0.46) (-0.33) (-0.48) (-0.35) (+3.27) (+3.26) (-22.5) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Kaz-n 28.04.98 528.1535 45.39 20.45 23.52 18.44 12.75 3.64 12.60 (+1.00) (+0.17) (+0.03) (-0.09) (+0.01) (+1.24) (-5.31) (+18.7) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- NGD 07.06.98 381.5436 30.20 6.73 7.02 3.94 6.42 4.31 0.25 (+0.02) (-0.25) (-0.14) (-0.20) (-0.11) (+0.17) (-2.71) (+6.49) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Gran- 03.03.99 271.9492 20.03 6.43 6.83 4.27 0.17 -8.01 6.98 tum (+0.55) (-0.01) (+0.05) (+0.04) (+0.10) (-1.06) (-6.23) (+19.8) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- SE 20.07.99 214.9947 14.01 7.03 8.30 3.74 -4.20 4.61 2.86 NIM (+0.23) (-0.08) (-0.07) (-0.14) (-0.02) (-0.15) (+1.22) (+6.38) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Kor- 01.12.99 195.1308 12.14 7.00 8.43 5.14 7.19 0.98 0.62 gau (+0.05) (-0.11) (-0.13) (-0.23) (-0.13) (-0.06) (-1.80) (+2.37) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Otan 26.11.01 164.3274 11.00 10.57 11.04 7.65 10.54 9.68 5.65 (+0.449) (-0.02) (-0.06) (-0.11) (-0.03) (+2.68) (+2.80) (+9.38) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- Kapi- 06.03.02 154.9237 9.85 10.11 11.39 8.18 16.23 5.36 -8.57 tal (-0.68) (-0.34) (-0.48) (-0.68) (-0.56) (+1.96) (-2.78) (-8.71) ----- -------- ------------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ------- ------- ------- RES 18.05.07 101.4458 3.88 - - - - - 5.75 (+0.46) (+0.52) - - - - - (-4.06) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The table below let us observe dynamics of the described above indicator of CPU changing (% APR) in monthly terms for the last 12 months. Funds are sorted out in alphabetical order in this table. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- year 2006 year 2007 ----------------- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Aver- Fund X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX age ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Gran +8.5 +7.8 +11.7 +2.7 +10.2 +6.5 -4.2 +10.3 +11.5 -3.1 -12.8 +7.0 +4.7 tum VTF -18.0 +6.1 +7.1 +1.1 +3.7 -104 +2.2 Х X X X Х -14.6 SAPF +3.5 +4.2 +58.4 +0.9 +5.4 +16.1 +2.8 -2.3 +5.7 +8.4 +12.1 -4.0 +9.3 Kaz- +2.5 +11.2 +16.8 +3.9 +5.9 +5.1 +5.6 +30.1 +20.0 +13.8 -6.1 +12.6 +10.1 n Kaz- +7.1 +5.7 +19.5 +19 +15 -0.8 +2.0 +4.1 +14.6 +1.4 -2.4 +6.7 +7.7 mys Kapi +53.5 +16.2 +19.7 +2.8 +8.0 +4.2 +31.7 +23.8 +13.8 +10.8 +0.1 -8.6 +14.7 tal Kor- +1.5 +5.3 +6.9 +4.2 +6.0 +7.3 +7.4 +19.9 +6.5 +3.8 -1.7 +0.6 +5.6 gau Ku- -0.8 -0.7 +33.4 +5.2 +9.7 +5.7 +4.1 +39.9 +17.7 +16.4 +1.6 -1.8 +10.9 naev NBK -3.1 +3.4 +61.2 +6.2 +10.8 -2.7 +15.4 +22.1 +14.2 +1.0 -9.2 +9.1 +10.7 NGD -14.6 -8.2 +21.5 +0.7 +8.1 +5.3 +5.4 +5.4 +12.6 +15.3 -6.2 +0.3 +3.8 Atam -8.1 +11.5 +12.1 +8.6 +6.0 +5.5 +7.7 +5.8 +6.2 +9.9 +4.8 +5.5 +6.3 Otan +1.3 +9.2 +32.1 +3.7 +26.0 -5.2 +12.0 +19.3 +1.0 +23.6 -3.7 +5.6 +10.4 SE- -4.8 +8.3 +14.9 -0.2 +23.2 -3.3 -31.0 -0.7 +0.8 +13.0 -3.5 +2.9 +1.6 NIM UlUm -10.8 -0.9 +36.8 +44 -35.0 -7.0 +14.2 -5.1 +9.9 +23.2 +17.3 -5.1 +6.7 RES - - - +9.8 +5.7 +7.8 ---- ----- ----- ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Ave- +1.3 +5.6 +25.1 +7.3 +7.4 -4.8 +5.4 +12.3 +9.6 +10.6 >0.01 +2.6 +6.4 rage --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbreviations are used in the table for compactness, as follows: VTF - PAP Valut-Tranzit-Fund JSC; Kunaev - PAPF of open type named after Kunaev JSC; Atam - APF Atameken JSC; Kaz-n - till December 30, 05 -APF BTA Kurmet-Kazakhstan JSC, afterwards - APF BTA Kazakhstan JSC; HBK - APF of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan JSC; Kazmys - APF Kazakhmys JSC; UlUm - till Oct 1,01 OAPF Ular CJSC, afterwards - APF UlarUmit CJSC; NGD - APF NefteGas-DEM CJSC; Kurmet - POAPF Kurmet JSC; Grantum - till April 6, 06 - ABN AMRO-KaspiyMunayGas APF JSC, afterwards - GRANTUM APF JSC (Subsidiary company of Kazkommertsbank JSC); SENIM - OAPF Senim JSC; Korgau - APF Korgau JSC; PMK - KAPF Philip Morris Kazakhstan JSC; Otan - OAPF OTAN JSC; SAPF - Accumulative pension fund SAPF JSC; Capital - APF CAPITAL JSC ; RES - APF RESPUBLIKA JSC ; "Х" - data are absent due to inactivity or liquidation. [2007-11-08]