Fitch Rates JSC National Atomic Company Kazatomprom IDR 'BB+'; Outlook Positive
07.11.06 21:26
/Fitch Ratings-London/Moscow, November 7, 06/ - Fitch Ratings has today
assigned Kazakhstan-based uranium producer JSC National Atomic
Company Kazatomprom ("Kazatomprom") an Issuer Default 'BB+' rating and
a Short-term 'B' rating. The Outlook is Positive.
The ratings reflect Kazatomprom's world leadership position in uranium
production, its strong growth profile, its sound financials as well as the
potential government support implied by its 100% government ownership.
The company is the fourth largest uranium producer in the world with a 10%
market share. It has the second largest low-cost uranium resource base in
the world. Kazatomprom is thus uniquely positioned to leverage the recent
revitalisation of the uranium industry on the back of the planned increase in
the number of nuclear power plants worldwide. All these factors will help drive
the company's strategy of uranium production expansion (28% compound
annual growth rate ("CAGR") in 2005-2010) and of its shift to more value-
added products.
Kazatomprom posted a strong 33% CAGR in revenue during 2003-2005.
Fitch views that the company will be able to maintain this impressive
performance on the back of solid industry fundamentals, low cost production
and changes in the product mix. However, the agency acknowledges that
Kazatomprom operates on a much smaller scale compared to its rated
metals and mining peers. Moreover, its limited product diversification
increases its exposure to uranium industry risks.
Kazatomprom is moderately leveraged compared to many of its rated metals
and mining peers, with total debt of KZT32.2 billion at FY05 although the bulk
of it (KZT19.2bn) is held as term deposits. The company is restructuring its
debt to lengthen the maturity profile. As a result, the share of short-term
debt declined to 37.6% in 2005 from 86.3% in 2004.
In Fitch's view, as a fully government-owned entity, the company enjoys an
implicit government guarantee, which is reflected in its strategic importance
for the country, its track record of government support as well as the
composition of the board of directors (five out of six members are from
government-related agencies). However, the current shareholding structure
implies that Kazatomprom is subject to the risks associated with the Kazakh
government, mostly political. Furthermore, with the uranium industry highly
regulated both on a national and an international level, the company's
decision-making process can be constrained by regulatory requirements such
as permit grants.
The Positive Outlook reflects the favorable fundamentals of the uranium
industry as well as Fitch's expectations that Kazatomprom will continue its
rapid expansion while maintaining its strong credit and financial profiles.
Contacts:
Angelina Valavina, London, Tel: +44 (0)20 7417 6270;
Peter Archbold, +44 (0)20 7417 6334.
Media Relations:
Julian Dennison, London, Tel: +44 20 7862 4080;
Alla Izmailova, Moscow, Tel: +7 495 956 9903.
[2006-11-07]