Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for January 19, 2012
19.01.12 15:45
/IRBIS, January 19, 2012/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for January 19, 2012.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Trading in Asia today is in positive territory with marked rise
of the major indexes. Markets is supported by yesterday's
news that the IMF can increase lending to troubled Eurozone
countries, allocating U.S. $ 500 billion. In addition, from
anonymous sources became aware of the fact that the
People's Bank of China is considering a plan to mitigate
reserve requirements for banks in the country after the
economy slowed in the 4th quarter of last year. Chinese
indices Hang-Seng and Shanghai Composite now grow by
more than 1%. Japan's Nikkei adds 1%, while the Australian
ASX Index - 0.3%. Futures on U.S. indices today grow
within 0.1%.
- Commodity markets are currently increasing at a moderate
pace. WTI and European Brent crude quotations are rising
by 0.3 and 0.8%, respectively, before today's report of U.S.
Department of Energy reserves of crude oil and petroleum
products. Copper traded in Shanghai and New York, rising to
0.8% on positive news from China, as well as encouraging
statistics, the U.S. construction sector. Gold in the Asian
session is gaining 0.3%.
- The euro/dollar is in positive territory due to economic
optimism, adding 0.1% today. The course is trading at
around 1.286.
- Today, investors will be focused on the macroeconomic and
corporate news. In the U.S. today statistics on new
construction sites, the number of permits issued for new
construction and initial applications for unemployment
benefits will be available. Among corporate reports we may
highlight reports of eBay, Johnson & Johnson.
- Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" have revised their expectations
on the effect of the sale of stake in Kazakhtelecom LLP
"GSM Kazakhstan". Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" consider
the distribution of net profits from the sale of shares in the
form of dividends for 2012, amounting to 13,773 tenge per
ordinary and preference shares, likely. In addition, the "ASYL
INVEST" expects growth in the fundamental value of
common shares as a result of doubling of funds to the
Company's balance sheet, taking into account dividend
payments. For common shares of Kazakhtelecom JSC
"ASYL INVEST" said the fair price at 30,433 tenge, together
with the expected dividend yield potential stock investments
when buying at current price levels will be 106%. Preferred
shares have the potential to increase to 23,000 tenge per
share. Along with the expected dividend yield of investment
in shares is 109%. Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" recommend
buying shares of the Company
- The news background today is positive for stocks of mining
companies in Kazakhstan. "Asyl INVEST" recommends to
"buy" shares of Kazakhmys and EP KMG. Our target price
on shares of Kazakhmys is 16.9 British pounds, shares of
KMG EP - 20,254 KZT.
- Analysts of "Asyl Invest" also recommend to "buy" Halyk
Bank common stocks, which received good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 198.5 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. Leading credit rating
agency S & P in December raised the long-term credit
ratings of the bank by two grades to 'BB' from 'B +', while
maintaining its outlook "stable". Rating actions confirm the
view of the "Asyl Invest" to the issuer as a financially secure,
given the leading market position, low debt burden, high
levels of capitalization and liquidity, as well as high ability to
generate profits. Target price of "Asyl Invest" on the shares
of the bank is 474 tenge.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2012-01-19]