Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for December 26, 2011
26.12.11 16:01
/IRBIS, December 26, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for December 26, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- The Asian markets today are growing rapidly against
speculation that the U.S. economy continue to recover. U.S.
data on durable goods orders and new home sales for
November, released last Friday, surpassed the expectations
of economists. Japan's Nikkei is gaining 1.3% today, while
China's Hang-Seng - 1.4%, Shanghai is located in a small
minus. American and European sites today are not working
because of New Year holidays.
- Commodity markets today show modest increase in the
backdrop of positive economic sentiment. Quotes of WTI
and Brent today added within 0.5%. Gold in the Asian
session remained almost unchanged in price.
- The euro/dollar now trading at 1.306, adding 0.1%. The
dollar lost positions on speculation that the data on
consumer confidence on Tuesday will show an increase in
consumer sentiment in the U.S. that are not in favor of
defensive tools. Against the euro today are cautious
investors' expectations regarding the outcome of this week
auction on placement of bonds of different maturities in Italy
worth more than $11.5 billion.
- New background today is positive for shares of commodity
companies. Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend to "buy"
shares of Kazakhmys and KMG EP. Our target price on
shares of Kazakhmys - 16.9 British pounds, shares of KMG
EP - 20,254 KZT.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend to "buy" on Halyk
Bank common stocks, which received good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 206 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. Yesterday, leading
rating agency S & P upgraded the long-term credit ratings of
the bank by two grades to 'BB' from 'B +', while maintaining
its outlook on "stable". Rating actions confirm the view of the
"Asyl INVEST" on the issuer as financially secure, given the
leading market position, low debt burden, high levels of
capitalization and liquidity, as well as high ability to generate
profits. Target price of "Asyl Invest" on the shares of the
bank - 474 tenge.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend investors to "buy"
preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom. As noted earlier, the
shares have a high potential for growth, after the company
announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile operator LLP
"GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much higher price (of
mobile communications sector, even in the current situation
is estimated at more than 9 annual profits) than it is recorded
on the balance sheet, positive impact on its net profit in 2012
and is likely to give big dividends to shareholders up to 2012.
Target price of "Asyl Invest" on preferred shares of the
company - 21,823 KZT.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2011-12-26]