Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for December 23, 2011
23.12.11 16:44
/IRBIS, December 23, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for December 23, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- The Asian markets today generally are rising. Chinese
indexes rose in response to strong signals to improve the
economic situation in the U.S. Yesterday, U.S. data showed
drop in the number of initial claims for unemployment to its
lowest level since April 2008 and a significant increase in
consumer confidence. In addition, market is supported by
mergers and acquisitions, the Chinese coal company
Yanzhou Coal Mining has announced the acquisition of
Australian rival Gloucester Coal Ltd. Japan's Nikkei today is
reduced by 0.8%, while China's Hang-Seng and Shanghai
Composite - 1.1 and 1.45% respectively. Futures on U.S.
indexes are currently increasing in the range of 0.5%.
- Commodity markets today show modest increase on the
backdrop of positive economic sentiment. Quotes of WTI oil
and Brent today added within 0.5%, copper in electronic
trading in New York is rising by 0.6%, while in Shanghai it
adds 1.6%. Inventories of copper on the stock exchanges in
London, Shanghai and New York are at the two-year lows,
suggesting improving demand for the metal. Gold traded in
New York is growing weaker pace.
- The euro/dollar today is trading at levels above 1.305 after
demand for U.S. treasuries fell and the dollar weakened in
response to growing economic optimism.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend to "buy" shares of
Kazakhmys and KMG EP. Our target price on shares of
Kazakhmys - 16.9 British pounds, shares of KMG EP -
20,254 KZT.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend to "buy" on Halyk
Bank common stocks, which received good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 206 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. Yesterday, leading
rating agency S & P upgraded the long-term credit ratings of
the bank by two grades to 'BB' from 'B +', while maintaining
its outlook on "stable". Rating actions confirm the view of the
"Asyl INVEST" on the issuer as financially secure, given the
leading market position, low debt burden, high levels of
capitalization and liquidity, as well as high ability to generate
profits. Target price of "Asyl Invest" on the shares of the
bank - 474 tenge.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend investors to "buy"
preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom. As noted earlier, the
shares have a high potential for growth, after the company
announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile operator LLP
"GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much higher price (of
mobile communications sector, even in the current situation
is estimated at more than 9 annual profits) than it is recorded
on the balance sheet, positive impact on its net profit in 2012
and is likely to give big dividends to shareholders up to 2012.
Target price of "Asyl Invest" on preferred shares of the
company - 21,823 KZT.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2011-12-23]