The review of key events and forecasts from analysts of "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) for October 18, 2011
18.10.11 14:32
/IRBIS, October 18, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty) has
provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for October 18, 2011.
Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" JCS note the following events on
world markets:
- The external news background for the domestic market
today is negative. Yesterday it became clear that the solution
of debt problems is unlikely to be quick, as wanted by market
participants and leaders of major countries and the U.S.
economy still shows signs of weakness. The Asian market
has now caught negative from outside markets. Major
indices in the region decreased by more than 1.3%, while
individual indicators are losing even more than 3% on fears
of the Eurozone.
- The market today could be supported by the statistics of
Chinese GDP, industrial output and retail sales, but the data
left mixed impressions. Chinese GDP in the third quarter
increased by 9.1%, the weakest pace in two years, being
also worse than the forecast of the market by 0.2 percentage
points. Industrial production, however, in September rose by
13.8%, exceeding the forecast level of 13.4%. Retail sales in
the country during the same month rose by 17.7% after 17%
growth on the previous month.
- Commodity markets today show moderately positive trend.
Quotes of WTI and Brent grow from 0.2%. Copper prices at
auction in New York fell by 1.3%, suggesting that the
statistics of China does not encourage the investors to buy.
Gold today has hardly changed in price. The euro/dollar
today is growing by 0.3% after a dramatic collapse
yesterday.
- News background today is negative for the shares of mining
companies in Kazakhstan. Although yesterday they
decreased significantly, the further drawdown of quotations
is quite likely, given the weak dynamics of prices for oil and
industrial metals today.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend to "buy" for Halyk
Bank common shares, as believe that at current price levels,
218 tenge per share, they look extremely attractive. In fact,
stocks are estimated at a book value that is not reasonable
for the Bank, which has high growth prospects of net income
and return on equity (ROE) due to higher net interest
margins, operating efficiency, the presence of significant
levels of liquidity and low debt burden. In addition, the
analysts of "Asyl INVEST" believe that the issuer's shares
also depend on economic conditions as the shares of mining
companies in Kazakhstan, should catch up to the market
after its growth in the last two weeks.
This material is exclusively of informative character and is not offer
or recommendation to make any deals with shares. "IRBIS"
Agency is not responsible for the opinions given in the material.
[2011-10-18]