The review of key events and forecasts from analysts of "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) for September 22, 2011
22.09.11 16:51
/IRBIS, September 22, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS
(Almaty) has provided IRBIS with the review of key events
and its investment ideas and forecasts for September 22,
2011.
Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" indicate that the news
background for the domestic market today is extremely
negative. Yesterday's statement by the Fed on the incentives
and the prospects of the economy undermined investor
confidence in the future. Today, industrial metals and oil
prices fall dramatically, that the negative for the stock of
domestic commodity companies. Today, it is likely that the
shares of Kazakhmys, ENRC and KMG EP will incur
substantial losses in quotes. Shares of the banking sector
will also be under pressure.
Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" recommend investors to look at
stocks of KazakhTelecom. It became known yesterday that
the company will sell its 24% stake in "GSM Kazakhstan"
second major shareholder Teliasonera or its subsidiary
Fintur Holdings, which plans to continue to take the company
to IPO. The remaining share KazakhTelecom in K-Cell at a
rate of 25% will remain owned fixed line operator, but we can
not exclude that in future it could also be implemented after
the market valuation. Although it is too early to say whether
the deal is positive for stocks Kazakhtelecom as transaction
price is not yet known, the whole step of the Company can
be viewed in a positive way, because mobile market is
currently at its peak, slowing growth, rising competition and
falling tariffs. The company has the potential to gain
substantial funds from the sale of an asset. In the future,
returning to long-term strategy of the Company, the
company plans to access to foreign markets and acquiring
attractive assets abroad, that she may have accumulated
significant cash reserves.
Besides, analysts of "ASYL INVEST" JCS note the
following events on world markets:
- Today the main event of the day was the outcome of
the meeting FOMC, in which it was decided to sell to
the Fed's balance sheet short-term bonds worth $ 400
billion to buy the same amount of long-term bonds.
The measure would help reduce interest rates, which
is favorable for the mortgage market, however, in the
opinion of the market, it is unlikely to revive the U.S.
labor market. In addition, the regulator said yesterday
that the risks of recession are increasing. S & P500
index on the basis of trading fell by almost 3%,
reflecting the disappointment of the market, waiting for
more decisive action the Fed to stimulate the
economy.
- Indexes of China Hang-Seng and Shanghai
Composite fell today at significant pace. The first loses
4% of its value at the end of yesterday's trading, the
second - 2%. Japan's Nikkei drops by 1.6%. Market
wins back hardly inspiring yesterday's decision of
FOMC incentives and regulator perspectives
articulated by the economic downturn. Yesterday's
statement by Moody's to lower ratings of three leading
banks in the U.S. reinforces the negative sentiment in
the markets.
- The euro fell yesterday by 0.9% after it became clear
that the economic risks are increasing and positive on
the decision of the Federal Reserve more for the dollar
than the euro. Fed announced a new round of
quantitative easing, which could play not in favor of the
dollar, as articulated by economic stimulus measures
have not been able to increase investors' confidence
in the future. Today, the euro / dollar continues to fall
today after fears of the economy only increased after
yesterday's meeting of the FOMC.
- Yesterday, a significant increase in sales in the
secondary market, the U.S. real estate in August failed
to reverse the negative sentiment in the market
caused by the Fed's comments on the economy. Oil
prices in the U.S. and Europe have fallen on average
by 1%, whereas almost all industrial metals were in
negative territory. Today, commodity market continues
to decline. WTI crude oil lost almost 2%, Brent falls by
0.3%. Copper in Shanghai and New York in electronic
trading falls by 3.3%. Gold down by weak rate within
0.3%. Support for precious metals is likely provided by
economic concerns.
This material is exclusively of informative character and is not offer or
recommendation to make any deals with shares. "IRBIS" Agency is not
responsible for the opinions given in the material.
[2011-09-22]