The review of key events and forecasts from "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for September 16, 2011
16.09.11 16:16
/IRBIS, September 16, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty)
has provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its
investment ideas and forecasts for September 16, 2011
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" indicate that the news background for
the domestic market today is positive, given yesterday's rise in
prices for oil and industrial metals, as well as the rise of the
indexes of Asia in the morning session. But we should not rule
out that today is probably the Friday fixing profits in foreign
markets, given the good growth rates and risk indices for the
week. Against the background of the uncertainty on the
economy, which was confirmed by yesterday the U.S. data on
unemployment and economic activity, as well as unresolved
issues in the euro area investors' fears still persist.
Besides, ASYL INVEST analysts note the following events
on world markets:
- Increased inter-bank distrust in Europe yesterday
forced central banks to provide liquidity to the
country's leading applied for it to commercial banks in
Europe. Event outweighed speculation that the labor
market situation is deteriorating, emerged after the
next increase in the number of initial applications for
U.S. unemployment benefits last week to its highest
value since the end of June this year. In addition, on
this day the U.S. data showed a further slowdown in
the industrial district of New York and Philadelphia
County in August.
- Asian markets today repeat the dynamics of U.S. and
European markets after the central banks of leading
countries have provided support for those in need of
liquidity to banks, thereby weakening the market
growing fears about their solvency. The Nikkei and
Hang-Seng today are growing at 2.0%, Shanghai
Composite grows on more moderate pace (+0.5%).
Yesterday: Yesterday rate stood at 1.3937, which is
close to a strong resistance level of Fibonacci (50% -
1.3948). Support for the flow of positive news helped
to Eurozone, in particular, the assurances Merkel
Sarkozy that of Greece will not be allowed out of
control and the country defaulted remain in monetary
union, the news that China will continue to buy bonds
and distressed eurozone yesterday's action regulators
to ensure the liquidity of banks in Europe. Today, the
euro/dollar declines by 0.1% after yesterday's rise.
According to the "Asyl Invest", the main events of the
euro have been already played, the major indices over
the past three days have grown up decently, which will
contribute to opening of short positions on stocks and
the euro today. Especially because of pair euro/dollar
strong global resistance level has been reached -
1.3948 Fibonacci. Statements by leaders of major
countries and the ECB certainly good for the banking
sector, but at the root of the problem is not solved. The
mere fact that the regulators have to intervene in the
situation says about the growing problems in the
banking sector in Europe.
- Gold prices fell yesterday by 1.7% to $1,789 per
ounce. Industrial metals and oil prices rose after fears
of banks in Europe were asleep, and U.S. data on
industrial production showed an increase in August,
above market expectations. Today, oil prices in the
U.S. and Europe are growing within 0.4%. Prices for
WTI crude oil again topped $ 90 per barrel. But can
not overcome it with the beginning of September,
which increases the risk of falling. Gold prices are
falling again today, losing 1% in the Asian session,
after the first week of September, gold prices have
already fallen by 6%, dropping for 7 days from 9. "Asyl
INVEST" believes that current price levels are
attractive to buy because problematic question of the
euro area and the impact of the debt crisis in the
banking sector in Europe has not yet been resolved.
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" do not rule out raising the
price of today's auction.
The present material is exclusively informative and isn't an offer or
recommendation to conclude any deals with stock. "IRBIS" Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions, given in the present material.
[2011-09-16]