The review of key events and forecasts from "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for September 2, 2011
02.09.11 16:26
/IRBIS, September 2, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty)
has provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its
investment ideas and forecasts for September 2, 2011
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" indicate that the news background for
the domestic market today is negative, stock price decline of
domestic production companies is expected as a result of
lower prices for industrial metals on the background of weak
statistics on China and the Eurozone business activity in the
industrial sector.
Besides, ASYL INVEST analysts note the following events
on world markets:
- Yesterday, after prolonged growth, investors decided
to lock the profits the more that expected on Friday,
U.S. statistics on the labor market may show
deterioration in the economy. In addition, investors
previously expected weak data on the index of
business activity in the manufacturing sector of the
U.S. economy (ISM Manufacturing), disappointed by
the more powerful statistic, weakened the expectations
of the third round of quantitative easing.
- Asian markets decrease today after the American
floors on expectations of weak U.S. data on the labor
market, coming out today. Hang-Seng Index and
Nikkei are down today by more than 1.3%.
- Yesterday, in favor of the dollar yesterday played U.S.
statistics ISM Manufacturing. The index in August
showed a decrease to 50.6 points, well above market
expectations at 48.5 points. The data suggest that the
recession will be and the controller can not decide on
next steps to stimulate the economy. Against the euro
yesterday, played the statistics on the euro area,
where a similar index of business activity in the
industrial sector fell to 49 points from 50.4 points in
July. Economists had expected a decline to 49.7 index
points. Index at the level below 50 points means a
reduction in production. Economists analyzing the
data, complain about the debt problems of the region,
forcing governments to cut public spending and
consumer confidence, respectively, of the population.
Today, the U.S. dollar has not moved significantly
against the euro before the release of key statistics for
the United States. Today, everyone is waiting for data
on employment growth in non-farm sectors of the U.S.
economy, where the expected number of new jobs at
68 thousand and the unemployment rate, which should
remain unchanged in August at around 9.1%.
- Yesterday, investor demand for depreciating since the
spring of this year, industrial metals was undermined
by weak statistics on the index of business activity in
industry in China and the Eurozone. PMI
Manufacturing Index China in August was at its lowest
level for last 29 months, but reflects a weak expansion,
while a similar index fell to euro area levels, means a
reduction in manufacturing activity. Copper prices fell
yesterday by 1.4% Aluminum - 0.5% Ni - 2.0%. Today,
commodity markets show a weak trend. Industrial
metals continue to decline in response to speculation
that the decline of manufacturing activity in Europe
and China will curb demand for raw materials. Copper
at auction in New York and Shanghai falls in price,
falling to U.S. at 0.6% and 0.85% in China. Oil in the
U.S. and in Europe in electronic trading is down by
0.2% under the pressure of expectations about the
statistics of the U.S. labor market. Gold today grows
on moderate pace on economic concerns.
The present material is exclusively informative and isn't an offer or
recommendation to conclude any deals with stock. "IRBIS" Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions, given in the present material.
[2011-09-02]