The review of key events and forecasts from "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for September 1, 2011
01.09.11 16:57
/IRBIS, September 1, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty)
has provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its
investment ideas and forecasts for September 1, 2011
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" indicate that the news background for
the domestic market today is positive, given the close of
trading in positive territory for the United States and the major
indexes growth in Asia today. Today's trading is likely to tend
to the shares of the commodity sector. Rising prices for
copper, as well as news of the repurchase program of ordinary
shares from the market can generate demand for papers of
Kazakhmys trading at low price levels. For similar reasons, the
growth may be in shares of EP KMG. Attractive for purchase
are stocks of Halyk: at auction in London yesterday, the bank
receipts grew by 6%.
Besides, ASYL INVEST analysts note the following events
on world markets:
- The reason for optimism on Wednesday became the
American statistics. Thus, the data of ADP agency
have shown employment growth in the U.S. in August.
The number of new jobs in the private sector
amounted to 91 thousand, which is slightly below
market expectations at the level of 114 thousand
industrial orders in July rose by 2.4%, exceeding the
forecast of the market by 2% damage. The index of
business activity from Chicago Purchasing Manager
showed slowing economic activity in August, falling to
56.5 points from 58.8 points a month earlier.
Economists had expected a reduction in activity to
53.3 points. Pressure on the market today has news
that the deal of AT & T's acquisition of T-Mobile has
been blocked by the antimonopoly agency on grounds
that it could lead to significant reduction of competition
in wireless communications.
- Asian indices rise today after the U.S. indices in
response to positive data on U.S. industrial orders,
which enhanced the growth prospects of income Asian
exporters. Investors ignore weak data on Chinese
index of business activity in the industrial sector PMI
Manufacturing (August index was 50.9 points, below
economists' forecast of a 0.1 point), because suggest
that the State may limit the measures to tighten
monetary policy because of the slowdown in the
economy. Hang-Seng Index and Nikkei are currently
increasing by more than 1%.
- At the end of the trading day, the euro/dollar fell by
0.5% due to strong data coming out of industrial orders
in the U.S. and the business district in Chicago. Today,
the U.S. dollar has not moved significantly against the
euro. The situation will change in the European and
American sessions after the market will U.S. statistics
on the number of initial claims for unemployment
benefits and the index of business activity in the
industrial sector of the U.S. economy. According to the
forecasts of economists, the number of applications
last week will be reduced to 7 thousand, compared to
the previous week, the index of business activity in
August fall to 48.5 points from 50.9 a month earlier.
Positive statistics are likely to play in favor of the euro,
and vice versa.
- In support to copper prices, having risen on the day of
1.2%, acted U.S. statistics on industrial orders. Data
significantly exceeded market expectations, raising
speculation that demand for industrial metals will
persist. Prices for aluminum, nickel and lead showed a
similar trend. Gold trading results fell in price by 0.5%
due to the growing investor optimism about the
prospects for global growth. Today, commodity
markets show weak trend. Oil in the U.S. in electronic
trading is growing by 0.3% in response to speculation
that the signs of growth in industrial production in the
U.S. and China point to a possible increase in fuel
demand in major consumer countries. Brent crude oil
today is reduced to 0.15%. Copper at auction in New
York and Shanghai, moving in different directions,
falling in the U.S. is 0.6% more expensive in China at
0.3%. Gold can not yet get into positive territory, as the
situation in the stock market remains favorable.
The present material is exclusively informative and isn't an offer or
recommendation to conclude any deals with stock. "IRBIS" Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions, given in the present material.
[2011-09-01]