The review of key events from "Asyl-Invest" JCS analysts for May 25, 2011
25.05.11 15:20
/IRBIS, May 25, 2011/ - "ASYL-INVEST" JCS (Almaty) has provided
IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment ideas and
forecast for May 25, 2011
Trading on the Kazakhstan stock market on Tuesday ended with
lateral dynamic of index KASE. In terms of index growth was observed
on shares of Kazakhtelecom (0.5), decrease - in the shares of
Kazakhmys (-0.5%). Trading activity was very low. The trading volume
of KASE index on Tuesday amounted to 0.4 million tenge.
Trading of shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Tuesday ended with growth. Shares
and depositary receipts of raw materials companies led the way for
trading on the background of recovery in prices on commodity markets.
Kazakhmys shares were up 2.3%, shares of ENRC - by 0.6%. GDR
EP KMG grew by 1.3%. In the banking sector there was a partial
recovery in prices. NSBK GDR rose by 1.1%, GDR KKB - by 0.8%.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops moderately negative. From European trading today, analysts
of ASYL INVEST are expecting lowering of prices. According to trade
KASE index probably will show a weak negative change.
In addition, analysts of ASYL INVEST note the following events on
world markets:
- Major U.S. stock indexes at the opening of trading on Tuesday
attempted to recover losses of the previous day under the
influence of positive dynamics on the foreign markets and the
weakening U.S. dollar, but the published economic statistics has
caused concern of market participants regarding the slowdown in
industrial production, which in combination with concerns about
debt problems euro area has led to a decrease in major U.S.
stock indexes after about 1.5 hours after the opening of trading.
Following the session, Tuesday indices suffered losses as the
third day in a row and fell, so to a minimum of 1 month. Market
weakness was caused by data on an index of manufacturing
activity for May from Richmond Fed, which reported a decline in
business activity in the manufacturing sector of the central
Atlantic region, after rising for seven months. Value of the index
declined from 10 points to minus 6 points. Economists forecast a
decline to 9 points. Sales in the primary market in the U.S. in
April rose 7.3% to 323 thousand Economists had forecast no
growth in sales. Given the drop in existing home sales, sales
growth in the primary market was somewhat unexpected. The
median price of new homes in April rose to $ 214.5 thousand to
$ 217.9 thousand Thus, the difference in prices of existing
homes and new homes was $ 54.7 thousand in declining stock
indexes at the auctions on Tuesday has occurred despite the
recovery in commodity markets. July futures for WTI crude oil
increased by 1.93% to $ 99.59 per barrel. Positive impact on
rising oil was exerted by a recommendation by Goldman Sachs
and the weakening U.S. dollar. U.S. dollar index on Tuesday fell
0.21% to 75.944. Best momentum of stock trading was
demonstrated by oil and gas sector (1.32%). From corporate
events can be noted placement of shares of a Russian Internet
company Yandex (YNDX). The company raised $1.3 to the IPO
on Monday, selling 52.2 million shares at $25 per share. The
company's shares on Tuesday rose 55.36% to $ 38.84 per
share, the highest price at auction was $ 42.01 per share. In
general, trading volume on the NYSE on Tuesday amounted to
868.4 million shares, while turnover - $ 25.6 billion
- Today the U.S. expects important economic statistics. Today,
there are data on orders for durable goods in April. In general,
the dynamics at the auctions will likely depend on changes on
foreign stock markets, commodity markets and the domestic
economic statistics.
- Major stock indexes in Western Europe finished the session on
Tuesday with growth against the backdrop of increasing recovery
in prices on commodity markets. The British FTSE 100 index
showed a moderate growth due to higher commodity prices.
However, support for the commodity markets was short-lived, as
market participants showed concern about the debt problems of
the eurozone because of the messages from the rating agency
Moody's for possible downgrade of ratings of 14 British banks.
German DAX index also showed moderate growth. The leaders
of growth were stocks and shares of automakers and chemical
companies.
- Today, the external background before opening of trading in
Europe is composed as moderately negative. We do not exclude
the fall of the indices of trading results. Of the economic statistics
today, there are data on UK GDP for the I quarter, data on
consumer confidence index from the GfK in Germany in June.
- Major Asian stock indexes are now showing a decrease due to
concerns of participants about the global economic recovery.
Shares of commodity trader Glencore fell in Hong Kong on
trading debut.
- Oil prices are now falling, the U.S. dollar is growing. July futures
for WTI crude oil today lost 0.8%, the July crude oil futures for
Brent - 0.7%. Gold prices today are falling, the U.S. dollar is
growing by 0.3% against a basket of currencies.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. IRBIS Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-05-25]