Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on September 25, 2009
25.09.09 15:28
/IRBIS, September 25, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on September
25, 2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- sentiment on the markets before today's trading develops is negative, but
analysts of ASYL INVEST do not exclude the rebound on strong cheapened
securities, against which investors can make purchases;
- Asian indices this morning with mostly lower in response to falling U.S. and
European markets. Futures for the American indexes show little change;
- Today an impact on the market can provide the August's data on demand for
durable goods in the United States, which is expected to increase and sales
data on homes in the primary market, which is also expected to increase.
Refined the September consumer confidence index data from the University of
Michigan, also may influence the course of bidding. Preliminary data showed
index of its growth up to 70.2 points. It is expected that the final value
will be slightly revised upward to 70.5 points
Analyst ASYL INVEST giving the following advice for investors:
- on shares of Centerra Gold (TSX: CG): Centerra Gold shares during
yesterday's trading were down more than 6 % and closed at around 7.27 in
Canadian dollars. Current trading recommendations of ASYL INVEST on
company securities: to buy at 6.5 Canadian dollars and to sell at 8 Canadian
dollars. Yesterday, company issued a press release that the forecast was
downgraded in gold production at Kumtorskom deposit in Kyrgyzstan. In
particular, in the third quarter, the company expects production at the level
of 120-130 thousand ounces instead of the previously projected 165-185
120-130 thousand ounces. In the fourth quarter, the company expects
production at the level 225-235 120-130 thousand ounces instead of the
previously projected 245-265 thousand Analysts say ASYL INVEST, quotes,
companies have already played the information in yesterday's trading. A
more important indicator of bearing on the continued momentum stocks,
analysts believe quotes gold, which fell below 1 000 $ / tr. oz. during
yesterday's trading. It is recommended to look closely to the securities of
companies while reducing the recommended levels of purchase.
- On the GDR of Gazprom (LSE: OGZD): depositary receipts of the
company during yesterday's trading showed reduced by more than 2 % and
closed at the mark of $ 23.7. Analysts of ASYL INVEST expect pressure on
the quotations of securities of the company to survive against the backdrop
of oil cheapened quotes, but did not rule out that oil, and paper companies
can demonstrate a rebound that could be used as a speculative idea today.
Current trading recommendations of ASYL INVEST in securities of the
company: to buy at $ 22 and to sell at $ 25. For investors with long-term
investment horizon the company's securities are also attractive. Currently
under consideration by the Government of Russia to be the program for
developing the Yamal fields and surrounding areas, which was developed
by the Administration of Yamal with Gazprom under the leadership of the
Ministry of Energy. It is assumed that the Yamal fields will be exempted from
taxes on mineral extraction, and the Yamal region will become a major area
of gas production by 2030. Bloomberg consensus forecast implies a target
price of about $ 30 per GDR. It is recommended to look closely to the
securities of companies with a decrease to the specified level of purchase.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST for more conservative investors recommend
fixed-income instruments in the bond market. Analysts of ASYL INVEST given
the low risk of insolvency of the issuer, recommend paying attention to bonds
KZPC2Y05B665 Mangistau Electricity Distribution Company (MREKb3,
coupon bonds, yield - 16 %, the repayment period - 22/11/2011 - 05/12/2011,
coupon - 12 %, fixed).
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-09-25]